RAPID: Collaborative Research: Extension of the ADCIRC Coastal Circulation Model for Predicting Near Shore and Inner Shore Transport of Oil from the Horizon Oil Spill

这项快速反应研究拨款(RAPID)将采用基于建模和模拟的研究，如果成功，将有助于对地平线漏油灾难做出更有效的应急响应。特别是，该提案补充了卫星图像和现场观测跟踪与三维计算建模和模拟，以便准确预测与最近大规模和持续的深水地平线漏油有关的油羽的移动。到目前为止，石油的流动和数量在很大程度上都是不可预测的，阻碍了对现有资源的最佳利用，以遏制、缓解和清理石油。考虑到目前估计的200,000-2,000,000加仑/天，海水中石油的寿命将需要持续的响应。在接下来的12个月里，将逐步追求五个研究主题：将现有的高分辨率海岸环流和波浪模型与非结构网格粒子模型(代表泄漏运动)联系起来；将链接的模型从2D移动到3D；基于实时观测数据改进模型；优化模型以允许图形输出与模型运行同时进行；在联合海岸模型中引入飓风的影响。每个单独的主题在实施时都将提高对接近海岸线的石油运动的可预测性。除了通过改进石油跟踪和预测来减轻损害的直接好处外，该奖项的研究将具有持续的价值。新的模拟能力将被纳入现有的海岸模型，特别是墨西哥湾的模型，这可能有利于未来涉及海岸线生态系统的任何紧急情况。

This Grant for Rapid Response Research (RAPID) will employ modeling and simulation based research which, if successful, will assist in a more effective emergency response to the Horizon oil spill catastrophe. In particular, the proposal complements satellite imagery and in situ observational tracking with 3-D computational modeling and simulation in order to accurately predict the movement of the oil plume associated with the very recent, massive and continuing Deepwater Horizon oil spill. To date, both movement and quantity of the oil has been largely unpredictable hampering optimal use of available resources to contain, mitigate and clean up the oil. Given the current 200,000-2,000,000 gallon/day estimate, the longevity of the oil in seawater will require a sustained response.There are five research topics which will be pursued incrementally over the next twelve months: linking existing high resolution coastal circulation and wave models with an unstructured grid particle model (representing the spill movement); moving the linked models from 2D to 3D; refining the model based on real time observational data; optimizing the model to allow graphic output concurrent with model runs; introducing hurricane implications into the combined coastal model. Each individual topic as it is implemented, will improve predictability of the oil movement as it approaches shoreline.In addition to the direct benefit of damage mitigation with improved oil tracking and prediction, the research from this award will have sustained value. The new simulation capabilities will be incorporated into existing coastal models, particularly those of the Gulf of Mexico, potentially giving benefit to any future emergency involving shoreline ecosystems.