Collaborative Research: Investigating Decadal Climate Predictability and Climate Impacts (IDCPI) on the Western United States
合作研究:调查美国西部的十年气候可预测性和气候影响(IDCPI)
基本信息
- 批准号:1049238
- 负责人:
- 金额:$ 153.89万
- 依托单位:
- 依托单位国家:美国
- 项目类别:Continuing Grant
- 财政年份:2011
- 资助国家:美国
- 起止时间:2011-04-01 至 2016-12-31
- 项目状态:已结题
- 来源:
- 关键词:
项目摘要
This project supports a team of researchers in a major research thrust in decadal climate prediction entitled "Investigating Decadal Climate Predictability and Climate Impacts (IDCPI) on the Western US." The IDCPI is an interdisciplinary effort to use instrumental records of climate and paleoclimate data to assess the skill level of Earth System Models (EaSM) to forecast decadal climate variability. Generally, the research team will focus on the region of the western Unites States because both historic and prehistoric records document recurrent decadal-scale hydroclimate variability, including repeated drought, which has been attributed to Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies. Specifically, the team will use models, in combination with an isotope "fingerprinting" methodology, to: 1) assess the ability of Earth System models (global and regional models) to accurately simulate the atmospheric response to SST forcing; 2) retrospectively investigate whether models can predict drought in advance and estimate how long the events will persist; 3) assess whether a future drought in the western U.S. is currently predictable with existing models; and 4) develop future hydrologic predictions with uncertainty estimates for the western U.S. where models exhibit skill.This project has the potential to improve the reliability of regional climate predictions in the southwest Unites States. In doing so, the research would be of importance to resource managers and policy makers. The project also provides a unique cohort approach to the training and mentoring of post doctoral scholars associated with the collaborating institutions.
该项目支持一组研究人员在十年气候预测方面的主要研究方向,题为“调查美国西部的十年气候可预测性和气候影响(IDCPI)”。“IDCPI是一项跨学科的努力,使用气候和古气候数据的仪器记录来评估地球系统模型(EaSM)预测十年气候变率的技能水平。一般来说,研究小组将把重点放在美国西部地区,因为历史和史前记录都记录了经常性的十年尺度水文气候变化,包括反复干旱,这归因于海面温度(SST)异常。具体而言,该小组将使用模型,结合同位素“指纹”方法,以:1)评估地球系统模型的能力(2)回顾性研究模式是否能提前预测干旱并估计干旱事件将持续多久; 3)评估美国西部未来的干旱是否可以用现有的模型预测;和4)在美国西部发展未来的水文预测,并对不确定性进行评估,因为那里的模型显示出了技术水平。该项目有可能提高美国西南部地区气候预测的可靠性States. 在这样做时,研究将对资源管理者和决策者具有重要意义。 该项目还提供了一个独特的队列方法来培训和指导与合作机构有关的博士后学者。
项目成果
期刊论文数量(0)
专著数量(0)
科研奖励数量(0)
会议论文数量(0)
专利数量(0)
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Lowell Stott其他文献
No signs of Southern Ocean CO2
没有南大洋二氧化碳的迹象
- DOI:
10.1038/ngeo815 - 发表时间:
2010-03-01 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:16.100
- 作者:
Lowell Stott - 通讯作者:
Lowell Stott
Tropical Pacific – mid-latitude teleconnections in medieval times
- DOI:
10.1007/s10584-007-9239-2 - 发表时间:
2007-04-03 - 期刊:
- 影响因子:4.800
- 作者:
Nicholas E. Graham;Malcolm K. Hughes;Caspar M. Ammann;Kim M. Cobb;Martin P. Hoerling;Douglas J. Kennett;James P. Kennett;Bert Rein;Lowell Stott;Peter E. Wigand;Taiyi Xu - 通讯作者:
Taiyi Xu
Lowell Stott的其他文献
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{{ truncateString('Lowell Stott', 18)}}的其他基金
Collaborative Research: Resolving the LGM ventilation age conundrum: New radiocarbon records from high sedimentation rate sites in the deep western Pacific
合作研究:解决LGM通风年龄难题:西太平洋深部高沉降率地点的新放射性碳记录
- 批准号:
2341424 - 财政年份:2024
- 资助金额:
$ 153.89万 - 项目类别:
Continuing Grant
MRI: Acquisition of a New Stable Isotope Ratio Mass Spectrometer with Carbonate System to Support Research and Education at the University of Southern California
MRI:购买带有碳酸盐系统的新型稳定同位素比质谱仪,以支持南加州大学的研究和教育
- 批准号:
2117536 - 财政年份:2021
- 资助金额:
$ 153.89万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
Collaborative Research: Investigating the Influences of Hydrothermal and Respired Carbon in Intermediate Waters of the Equatorial Pacific Ocean During the Last Deglaciation
合作研究:调查末次冰消期赤道太平洋中层水域热液和呼吸碳的影响
- 批准号:
1904433 - 财政年份:2019
- 资助金额:
$ 153.89万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
Investigating Sources of Excess Carbon and DELTA14C Anomalies During the Last Glacial Termination
调查末次冰期终止期间过量碳和 DELTA14C 异常的来源
- 批准号:
1558990 - 财政年份:2016
- 资助金额:
$ 153.89万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
EAGER: Preliminary Investigation of the Stott and Timmermann Hypothesis that Hydrothermal Carbon Fluxes Influenced Glacial/Interglacial DELTA 14C Variability
EAGER:对 Stott 和 Timmermann 假设热液碳通量影响冰川/间冰期 DELTA 14C 变异性的初步研究
- 批准号:
1344514 - 财政年份:2013
- 资助金额:
$ 153.89万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
P2C2: A Network of Paleo-Monsoon Rainfall Stations in Southeast Asia to Investigate Atmospheric Circulation Changes over the Past Four Centuries
P2C2:东南亚古季风降雨站网络,用于调查过去四个世纪的大气环流变化
- 批准号:
0902507 - 财政年份:2009
- 资助金额:
$ 153.89万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
Acquisition of a New Continuous-Flow Stable Isotope Mass Spectrometer and Two Elemental Analyzers for Support of the University of Southern California Stable Isotope Facility
采购一台新型连续流稳定同位素质谱仪和两台元素分析仪,为南加州大学稳定同位素设施提供支持
- 批准号:
0825325 - 财政年份:2008
- 资助金额:
$ 153.89万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
SGER: Hydroclimatic History of the Northeastern Pacific Using the DELTA18O from Tree Cellulose
SGER:使用来自树纤维素的 DELTA18O 东北太平洋的水文气候历史
- 批准号:
0844750 - 财政年份:2008
- 资助金额:
$ 153.89万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
Workshop: Benefit and Practicality of the Establishment of a Virtual Climate Institute on the West Coast; Los Angeles, California; Summer 2008
研讨会:在西海岸建立虚拟气候研究所的好处和实用性;
- 批准号:
0833822 - 财政年份:2008
- 资助金额:
$ 153.89万 - 项目类别:
Standard Grant
Testing the Hypothesis: Recurring Century-Length Episodes of Reduced Summer Monsoon Precipitation Are Linked to Ocean/Atmosphere Dynamics in the Tropical Pacific
检验假设:反复出现的长达一个世纪的夏季季风降水减少与热带太平洋的海洋/大气动力学有关
- 批准号:
0502615 - 财政年份:2005
- 资助金额:
$ 153.89万 - 项目类别:
Continuing Grant
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