RAPID: Social and Geophysical Influences on Evacuation Decision Making for Hurricane Irma

该奖项将支持快速反应研究，记录和分析社会和地球物理影响对飓风疏散决策的影响，通过收集2017年9月飓风伊尔玛在佛罗里达登陆前几天疏散人员的实时数据。 在灾害发生前收集的短暂数据将加强对地球物理和社会因素在影响自然灾害中疏散人员的决定方面所起作用的基本了解。 通过整合地球物理和社会因素，该项目将提供新的见解，将个人与备灾和恢复服务联系起来，作为促进社区复原力的一种方式。 灾害管理人员将能够将这些新知识融入更有针对性的灾害教育活动，项目结果将提供新的信息和见解，说明对社交媒体和移动的技术日益增长的兴趣如何影响备灾。 此外，从这项研究的结果将是有用的联邦，州和地方机构和急救人员，以帮助未来决策的危险以外的hurricanes.No投资的资源，以改善应急通信和规划策略，了解人类行为是至关重要的成功疏散工作。 这个基础研究项目将使用实时数据收集来提供有关实际疏散决策过程的新数据和观点，而不是依赖于潜在扭曲记忆回忆的更传统的回顾性方法。 调查小组将对撤离人员进行调查，以了解影响他们撤离决定的地球物理和社会影响。 将使用混合方法分析影响疏散状态的因素以及社会联系可靠性和社会人口统计学之间的关系。 在作出撤离决定时，对社会联系的密切程度和社交网络的可靠性有了新的认识，将使灾害管理人员能够开展更有针对性和更有效的灾害教育运动。 关于影响疏散决策的因素的新知识也将超越灾害规划和管理的价值，为其他领域提供新的见解，如公共卫生，社会工作和行为健康。

This RAPID award will support rapid-response research that documents and analyzes the effect of social and geophysical influences on hurricane evacuation decision making by collecting real-time data during an evacuation of people in the days prior to the landfall of Hurricane Irma in Florida in September 2017. The ephemeral data collected just prior to a disaster occurrence will enhance basic understanding of the role that geophysical and social factors play in influencing decisions by evacuees in the face of natural disasters. By integrating both geophysical and social factors, the project will provide new insights relating individuals to preparedness and recovery services as a way to promote community resiliency. Hazard managers will be able to integrate this new knowledge into more targeted disaster-education campaigns, and project findings will provide new information and insights regarding the ways that the growing interest in social media and mobile technology affects preparedness. Furthermore, outcomes from this research will be useful to federal, state, and local agencies and to first-responders to aid future decision making for hazards other than hurricanes.Regardless of investments in resources to improve emergency communication and planning strategies, understanding human behavior is paramount to a successful evacuation effort. This basic research project will use real-time data collection to provide new data and perspectives about the actual evacuation decision-making process rather than a more traditional retrospective approach that relies on potentially distorted memory recall. The investigative team will conduct surveys with evacuees to learn about the geophysical and social influences that have factored in their decision to evacuate. A mixed-methods approach will be used to analyze factors that impact evacuation status as well as relationships between the dependability of social connections and social demographics. New knowledge regarding the closeness of social connections and dependability social networks at the time when decisions are made to evacuate will enable hazard managers to engage in more targeted and effective disaster education campaigns. The new knowledge about factors that influence evacuation decision making also will be valuable beyond disaster planning and management, providing new insights in other domains, such as public health, social work, and behavioral health.