The Voting Behavior of Germans with an Immigrant Background: The First Election Study of Immigrants at the General Election of 2017

有移民背景的德国人的投票行为：2017 年大选中首次移民选举研究

• 批准号: 312917896
• 负责人: Professor Dr. Achim Goerres
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Institut für Politikwissenschaft
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Research Grants
• 财政年份: 2016
• 资助国家: 德国
• 起止时间: 2015-12-31 至 2018-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/312917896?language=en
• 关键词: Voting; Behavior; Germans; Immigrant; Background

The proposed project aims to carry out the first German election study among Germans with a migration background in the context of the German Federal Election of 2017. It therefore focuses exclusively on German voters who either migrated to Germany themselves or who have at least one migrant parent. While this definition covers 8.76 Mio people, there is a lack of research analyzing this group's voting behavior (turnout and vote choice) mainly due to the lack of high-quality data. On the theoretical side, there are some models to explain the turnout of immigrant voters but nearly none for explaining their vote choice. The scientific study of the political integration of migrant populations is of substantial social and political relevance. For electoral research, voters with migrant background provide a theoretically interesting group, since their political socialization differs from the experiences of the native population in many ways. Whether established theories of electoral research can also explain the voting behavior of voters with migrant background, or whether this is determined predominantly by migrant-specific characteristics, therefore is the central research objective of the proposed project. Methodologically, we intend to conduct a post-election-survey for two immigrant groups in the context of the German Federal Election of 2017. In contrast to established German election surveys - such as the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES) - we will only sample the voting age population with a migrant background to reach a number of cases necessary for powerful statistical analyses. The applied sampling procedure uses a stratified random sampling based on the population register and onomastic methods. Surveying 500 respondents for each of the two largest immigrant groups in Germany (German citizens of Turkish descent [about 1.3 million people] and Russian-speaking Late Resettlers with German citizenship [about 2.4 million people]) is our objective, resulting in a total sample size of 1.000. The detailed wording of multi-lingual available questionnaire is still in development but will consist of two groups of items. First, it consists of survey items well-established in electoral research that should resemble the items used in the GLES-survey to ensure comparability with the group of native voters. Second, it consists of items that capture several migrant-specific characteristics (e.g. type of citizenship, membership in ethnic organizations and ethnic identity) that are not asked for in the GLES.

拟议的项目旨在在2017年德国联邦选举的背景下，在具有移民背景的德国人中开展第一次德国选举研究。因此，它只关注那些自己移民到德国或父母至少有一人移民的德国选民。虽然这一定义涵盖了876万人，但由于缺乏高质量的数据，缺乏对这一群体的投票行为(投票率和投票选择)进行分析的研究。在理论方面，有一些模型可以解释移民选民的投票率，但几乎没有一个模型来解释他们的投票选择。对移徙人口政治融合的科学研究具有重大的社会和政治意义。对于选举研究来说，具有移民背景的选民在理论上是一个有趣的群体，因为他们的政治社会化在许多方面与土著人口的经历不同。因此，现有的选举研究理论是否也能解释具有移民背景的选民的投票行为，或者这是否主要由移民特有的特征决定，这是拟议项目的中心研究目标。在方法上，我们打算在2017年德国联邦选举的背景下对两个移民群体进行选举后调查。与德国现有的选举调查--如德国纵向选举研究(GLES)--不同，我们将只对具有移民背景的投票年龄人口进行抽样，以获得强大的统计分析所需的一些案例。应用的抽样程序采用基于人口登记和计量方法的分层随机抽样。我们的目标是为德国两个最大的移民群体(土耳其裔德国公民[约130万人]和讲俄语的晚期移居者[约240万人])各调查500名受访者，总样本量为1.000。多语种可用问卷的详细措辞仍在制定中，但将由两组项目组成。首先，它由选举研究中确立的调查项目组成，这些项目应该类似于GLES调查中使用的项目，以确保与土著选民群体的可比性。第二，它包含了一些移民特有的特征(例如，公民身份类型、族裔组织成员资格和族裔认同)，这些都是法律小组没有要求的。