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Impacts of tariffs of the US against China on the machinery exports of China and Japan to the US

美国对华加征关税对中日两国机械出口美国的影响

基本信息

批准号：
20K01642
负责人：
Baak SaangJoon
金额：
$ 2.08万
依托单位：
Waseda University
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
财政年份：
2020
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2020-04-01 至 2024-03-31
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/en/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K01642/
关键词：
impact of exchange rate export price export quantity machinery exports impact of tariff system GMM structural break misalignments exports to the US imperfect substitutes

项目摘要

I analyzed the panel data of ten-digit level machinery commodities which are exported from China and South Korea to the US from 2002Q1 to 2021Q4 to determine the impacts of economic variables on one country on the export quantity and and the export price of the other country. The demand for and the supply of exports of each country were estimated simultaneously. The estimation results show that the impacts of Chinese variables on Korean exports are bigger than the impacts of Korean variables on Chinese exports. When the Chinese export price decreases by 1% the demand for Korean exports decreases by 0.380%. In contrast, when the Korean export price decreases by 1% the demand for Chinese exports decreases by 0.185%. When the Chinese renminbi depreciates by 1%, the Korean export price decreases by 0.652%. When the Korean won depreciates by 1%, the Chinese export prices decrease by 0.824%.

本文利用中国和韩国2002年第一季度至2021年第四季度对美国出口的十位数级机械产品的面板数据，分析了一国经济变量对另一国出口数量和出口价格的影响。同时对每个国家的出口需求和供应进行了估计。估计结果表明，中国变量对韩国出口的影响大于韩国变量对中国出口的影响。当中国出口价格下降1%时，韩国出口需求下降0.380%。相反，当韩国出口价格下降1%时，对中国出口的需求下降0.185%。当中国人民币贬值1%时，韩国出口价格下降0.652%。当韩元贬值1%时，中国出口价格下降0.824%。