Predicting the formation of stars, black holes, and gravitational-wave signals with young galaxy clusters

2022年，我们发表了一篇《自然天文学》(High Impact Journal)，使用了我在ProposalM中描述的约束模拟技术。ATA等人。《自然天文学6》(2022)857。这是一次巨大的成功，表明“约束模拟”方法能够再现观测到的结构，甚至将它们模拟到未来。我们能够在模拟中再现观测到的结构，并通过将模拟转移到今天来预测它们的未来命运。这类似于对这些结构未来命运的预测，总共要晚110亿年。在最后的时间步，我们分析了产生的结构，这样我们就能够追溯到属于这个最终坍塌的物体的所有组成暗物质粒子。这是第一次在光锥上应用约束模拟。正如我在提案中所说，我将使用这项技术来预测引力波事件的产生。在进行了更彻底的文献研究后，我得出的结论是，像我们在2022年的论文中分析的那样，高红移的有限斑块不是理想的环境。此外，我重新阐述了该框架，并找到了一个更适合我们的受限地图的应用程序。

In 2022 we published a Nature Astronomy (High Impact Journal) using the constrained simulations technique that I described in the proposalM. Ata et al. Nature Astronomy 6 (2022) 857. This was a great success and showed that the method of 'constrained simulations' is capable reproducing observed structures and even model them into the future.We were able to reproduce the observed structures within our simulations and also predict their future fate by moving the simulation until today. This resembles a predicted future fate of these structures by a total of 11 billion years. At the final time step we analyzed the resulting structures so that we were able to trace back all constituent dark matter particles that belong to this final collapsed object. This was the first application of a constrained simulations on a lightcone.As stated in my proposal, I will use this technique to predict the creation of gravitational wave events.　After a more thoroughly literature research, I came to the conclusion that a limited patch at high redshifts, like we analyzed in the 2022 paper, is not the ideal environment. Also, I re-elaborated the framework and found an application that is more suited to our constrained maps.