Assessing Ecosystem Services and Functions in rural environments with emphasis on trade-offs and tipping points in their provisioning

评估农村环境中的生态系统服务和功能,重点是其供应中的权衡和临界点

基本信息

项目摘要

The assessment of Ecosystem Services and Functions (ESS and ESF) has gained a considerable attention in both scientific studies and political decision making processes. It offers frameworks to combine economic, ecological and social concepts into further reaching assessments that can be used to communicate complex biophysical or socio-ecological interactions in a condensed and streamlined way to stakeholders. The concept of ESS is entailing strong transdisciplinary characteristics as the valuation by stakeholders, directly or indirectly affected by changes in ESF, is a crucial part of the integrative approach. Methods and models to allow for such trans- and interdisciplinary work on a sound scientific basis are currently still being developed, or in need of further development. The main goal of this proposed research work is to develop and test methods for the identification of tipping-points in the provisioning of ESS and ESF. To do so, we will analyze the provisioning of ESF using available data and scenarios and compare different modelling approaches. A valuation framework will be developed to support the step from ESF to ESS, and statistical models will be adapted and developed to finally reach our main goal.We will achieve this by implementing four consecutive work packages. 1) Developing novel methods to analyze and compare available data in order to enhance existing concepts for the assessment of trade-offs in the provisioning of ESF at different spatial and temporal scales. 2) Performing comparative analyses of available software solution and models concerning their strengths and weaknesses in assessing selected ESF on different spatial scales. 3) Designing structured approaches for the integration of transdisciplinary aspects into ESS – assessments. We want to develop and field test such a methodological framework for information transfer from stakeholders in to science and vice versa. 4) Developing novel methods to assess potential tipping points and regime shifts in the provisioning of ESS and ESF over time and/or space. This will offer researchers a tool to analyze potential critical thresholds and asses the resilience related to land use change of these provisioning systems, both ex-ante and ex-post.The combination of these work packages will improve existing methods and allow for the development of new methods for the inter- and transdisciplinary assessment of ESS, and contribute to a better scientific embedding into potential future research activities. These approaches will be developed on the basis of existing stakeholder datasets from Yunnan, China and tested with stakeholders in Nan, Thailand.
生态系统服务和功能的评估在科学研究和政治决策过程中都得到了相当大的关注。它提供了将联合收割机的经济、生态和社会概念结合起来的框架,以进一步进行评估,从而以简明扼要的方式向利益攸关方通报复杂的生物物理或社会生态相互作用。由于直接或间接受到ESF变化影响的利益相关者的评估是综合方法的重要组成部分,因此ESS的概念具有很强的跨学科特征。目前仍在制定或需要进一步制定在健全的科学基础上开展这种跨学科和跨学科工作的方法和模式。这项拟议的研究工作的主要目标是开发和测试的方法,在提供ESS和ESF的临界点的识别。为此,我们将使用现有数据和情景分析ESF的供应情况,并比较不同的建模方法。我们将制定一个评估框架,以支持从ESF到ESS的步骤,并将调整和开发统计模型,以最终实现我们的主要目标。我们将通过实施四个连续的工作包来实现这一目标。1)开发新的方法来分析和比较现有的数据,以加强现有的概念,在不同的空间和时间尺度上提供ESF的权衡评估。2)对现有的软件解决方案和模型进行比较分析,了解它们在不同空间尺度上评估选定ESF的优缺点。3)设计将跨学科方面纳入ESS评估的结构化方法。我们希望开发和实地测试这样一个方法框架,以便从利益攸关方向科学传递信息,反之亦然。4)开发新的方法,以评估潜在的临界点和制度转变,在提供ESS和ESF随着时间和/或空间。这将为研究人员提供一个工具,分析潜在的关键阈值和评估的弹性相关的土地利用变化的这些供应系统,事前和事后,这些工作包的组合将改善现有的方法,并允许开发新的方法,跨学科和跨学科的评估ESS,并有助于更好地科学嵌入到潜在的未来研究活动。这些方法将在中国云南现有利益相关者数据集的基础上制定,并与泰国楠省的利益相关者进行测试。

项目成果

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