Land to Sea: integrated modelling of consequences of terrestrial activities and climatechange for freshwater and coastal marine biodiversity and ecosystem services

陆地到海洋：陆地活动和气候变化对淡水和沿海海洋生物多样性和生态系统服务的影响的综合建模

• 批准号: 411276610
• 负责人: Professor Dr. Daniel Hering
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: School of Biology and Environmental Science
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Research Grants
• 财政年份: 2018
• 资助国家: 德国
• 起止时间: 2017-12-31 至 2022-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/411276610?language=en
• 关键词: Land; Sea; integrated; modelling; consequences

Environmental policy and management to regulate multiple human activities require detailed understanding of how activities act individually and in combination to affect ecosystems and the range of services they provide. Progress has been made in characterising effects of many anthropogenic pressures on biodiversity, consequences for ecosystems and links to services. Further work and integration is required and research must be extended to capture effects in multiple dimensions of biodiversity and determine how changes in one ecosystem affect others.Land2Sea aims to (a) develop an integrative framework of coupled models for predicting the immediate and long term consequences of land-use and climate change for the delivery of ecosystem services and the underlying biodiversity and ecosystem processes in freshwater and marine ecosystems and (b) co-design a mechanism for the application of the framework to environmental policy and practise.The project brings together a multidisciplinary team from Ireland, Germany, Sweden, Canada and the USA. It will focus on combined impacts on freshwater and marine systems of selected human inputs to terrestrial systems (nutrients, biocides) and future climate-induced changes to hydromorphology. Empirical research will characterise combined effects of these stressors on multiple dimensions of biodiversity and on ecosystem processes, services and benefits. Findings will fill gaps in existing knowledge, which will be reviewed and complemented by expert opinion as a basis for a framework of coupled models (physical, biological and socio-economic) to predict impacts on aquatic ecosystems and ecosystem services. The framework and its application to policy and management will be developed and trialed through four case study areas with differing environmental and societal contexts but with strong backgrounds of research and societal dependence on freshwater and marine ecosystems. Engagement with stakeholders throughout the project will ensure the relevance and impact of its outputs.

规范多种人类活动的环境政策和管理要求详细了解各种活动如何单独或组合地影响生态系统及其提供的各种服务。在确定许多人为压力对生物多样性的影响、对生态系统的影响以及与服务的联系方面取得了进展。还需要进一步的工作和整合，必须扩大研究，以捕捉生物多样性的多个层面的影响，并确定一个生态系统的变化如何影响另一个生态系统。Land2Sea的目标是：(A)建立一个由耦合模型组成的综合框架，以预测土地利用和气候变化对淡水和海洋生态系统提供生态系统服务及基本生物多样性和生态系统过程的近期和长期影响，以及(B)共同设计一个将框架应用于环境政策和实践的机制。它将侧重于选定的人类对陆地系统的投入(营养素、杀生剂)以及未来气候引起的水文地貌变化对淡水和海洋系统的综合影响。实证研究将描述这些应激源对生物多样性的多个维度以及对生态系统过程、服务和效益的综合影响。调查结果将填补现有知识的空白，并将得到专家意见的审查和补充，作为预测对水生生态系统和生态系统服务影响的耦合模型(物理、生物和社会经济)框架的基础。这一框架及其在政策和管理方面的应用将通过四个案例研究领域进行开发和试验，这些领域的环境和社会背景不同，但研究背景和社会对淡水和海洋生态系统的依赖程度很高。在整个项目中与利益攸关方接触将确保其产出的相关性和影响。