Towards Blue Urbanism for Sea Level Change Adaptation: Global Trajectories and Speculative Futuring in Island Southeast Asia (BlueUrban)

海平面上升（SLR）通常是在风险和脆弱性的背景下进行的，特别是在东南亚群岛。城市海岸线的“装甲”和其他基础设施项目需要大量的资本投资，以保护生活免受水位上升、地面沉降和其他一系列社会生态影响的影响。然而，与此同时，世界各地的高价值房地产和沿海私有化进程反映了一种不同的、对立的现实，即拥抱各种各样的沿海未来。“迈向适应海平面变化的蓝色城市主义”项目通过分析以风险为中心和机会驱动的海平面变化适应范式和解决方案及其轨迹和转化，探讨了这一看似矛盾的问题。在实证研究的基础上，我们在全球范围内追踪了两组新兴实践的形成和话语争论，这些实践正在获得越来越多的政策牵引力：多功能“超级堤防”，以及浮动住房结构和人工岛屿技术。通过跟踪这些从创新和流通场所到在新加坡、雅加达和马尼拉大都会三个超大城市实施实践的项目的不同保护和陆地水解决方案，我们分析了话语空间、话语载体和认知渠道，通过这些空间、话语载体和认知渠道，变化适应被呈现为21世纪新的利润前沿，促进了新形式的“蓝色城市主义”。在更抽象的层面上，该项目推进了沿海“投机性未来”的微观政治和全球认知流动性的新兴研究，以适应变化。

Sea level rise (SLR) is usually framed within contexts of risk and vulnerability, particularly across archipelagic Southeast Asia. The 'armoring' of urban shorelines and other infrastructural projects call for immense capital investment in the name of protected living against rising waters, land subsidence, and a host of other socio-ecological impacts. In parallel however, high value real estate and coastal privatization processes around the world reflect a different, antithetical reality in embracing vastly divergent kinds of coastal futures. The proposed project "Towards Blue Urbanism for Sea Level Change Adaptation" explores this seeming paradox by analyzing risk-centered and opportunity driven paradigms and solutions for sea level change adaptation and their trajectories and translations. In empirically grounding the study, we globally trace formations and discursive contestations around two emerging sets of practices that are gaining increasing policy traction: multifunctional "superdikes", as well as technologies of floating housing structures and artificial islands. By following these diverse protective and terra-aqueous solutions from sites of innovation and circulation, to projects that implement the practices in the three megacities of Singapore, Jakarta and Metro Manila we analyze the discursive spaces, the discourse carriers, and the epistemic channels by which change adaptation is rendered as a new profit frontier in the 21st century, promoting new forms of "blue urbanism". On a more abstract level, the project advances nascent research on the micro-politics and global epistemic mobilities of coastal “speculative futuring” for change adaptation.