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Construction of Japan's Social Accounting Matrix and Applied general Equilibrium Analysis

日本社会核算矩阵的构建及应用一般均衡分析

基本信息

批准号：
15530191
负责人：
KODAIRA Hiroshi
金额：
$ 1.66万
依托单位：
Seijo University
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
财政年份：
2003
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2003 至 2005
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/en/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-15530191/
关键词：
social accounting matrix time series comparison multiplier analysis applied general equilibrium analysis policy evaluation 社会会計行列SAM 年金制度改革社会勘定行列SAM 応用一般均衡分析AGE 国民経済計算SNA

项目摘要

The purpose of our study is twofold ; (1) to construct social accounting matrices of Japanese economy 1990-2001, and (2) to compare and examine various quantitative methods for economic policy evaluation based on quantitative model.Although our economy id about to find its way out of long recession since the collapse of bubble economy, it needs synthetic policy package consisted with financial and monetary policies and structural reforms. Because the precise policy evaluation id necessary to judge which package should be adopted, we need to construct basic economic data set including financial data, and to know not only the direction of changes but also the extent of change of economic variables after a policy is implemented. Qualitative analysis cannot answer such a question.We carry out the followings : (1)the construction of social accounting matrix from System of National Accounts data, (2)the examination of System of National Accounts data for the purpose of above, and as quantitative methods based on social accounting matrix, (3)time series comparison, (4)multiplier analysis, and (5)applied general equilibrium analysis.

我们的研究有两个目的：（1）构建了1990-2001年日本经济的社会核算矩阵，（2）比较和检验了基于数量模型的各种经济政策评估的数量方法。它需要包括财政，货币政策和结构改革在内的综合性一揽子政策。由于需要对政策进行精确的评估，以判断应该采取哪种方案，因此需要构建包括金融数据在内的基础经济数据集，不仅要了解政策实施后经济变量的变化方向，还要了解政策实施后经济变量的变化程度。定性分析无法回答这一问题，因此，我们进行了以下工作：（1）根据国民经济核算体系数据构建社会核算矩阵，（2）为此目的对国民经济核算体系数据进行检验，并作为基于社会核算矩阵的定量方法，（3）时间序列比较，（4）乘数分析，（5）应用一般均衡分析。