Construction of Japan's Social Accounting Matrix and Applied general Equilibrium Analysis

我们研究的目的是双重的；(1)构建1990-2001年日本经济的社会会计矩阵；(2)比较和检验基于定量模型的经济政策评价的各种定量方法。虽然我们的经济即将走出泡沫经济破裂后的长期衰退，但它需要由金融、货币政策和结构改革组成的综合政策一揽子计划。由于需要精确的政策评估来判断应该采取哪一套方案，我们需要构建包括金融数据在内的基础经济数据集，不仅要知道政策实施后经济变量的变化方向，还要知道政策实施后经济变量的变化程度。定性分析无法回答这样的问题。我们进行了以下工作：(1)从国民经济核算系统数据构建社会会计矩阵；(2)为此目的对国民经济核算系统数据进行检验，并作为基于社会会计矩阵的定量方法；(3)时间序列比较；(4)乘数分析；(5)应用一般均衡分析。

The purpose of our study is twofold ; (1) to construct social accounting matrices of Japanese economy 1990-2001, and (2) to compare and examine various quantitative methods for economic policy evaluation based on quantitative model.Although our economy id about to find its way out of long recession since the collapse of bubble economy, it needs synthetic policy package consisted with financial and monetary policies and structural reforms. Because the precise policy evaluation id necessary to judge which package should be adopted, we need to construct basic economic data set including financial data, and to know not only the direction of changes but also the extent of change of economic variables after a policy is implemented. Qualitative analysis cannot answer such a question.We carry out the followings : (1)the construction of social accounting matrix from System of National Accounts data, (2)the examination of System of National Accounts data for the purpose of above, and as quantitative methods based on social accounting matrix, (3)time series comparison, (4)multiplier analysis, and (5)applied general equilibrium analysis.