Estimate and Forecast of Social Forces of A Regional Society

这是一个地区或地区可以作为经济、文化和政治中心独立的时代，这种观念多年来一直很普遍。这应该被理解为区域或地区自行推动的新的自组织现代化的曙光。但实际上，这种预期的现代化只是对中心、大城市案例的模仿，或者受到它们强烈影响的无用的东西。为什么他们不能在自我现代化下确立和实现自己的目标？因此，正是社会力量在寻求自我现代化这样一个自发的发展过程。的确，现代化一方面将权力政治转变为信息政治，另一方面也滋生了行使公民投票权和肤浅多彩的民主，这类似于缺乏实质性辩论的政治。这是源于现代Indev…哲学的错误潮流更多的唯我主义，我们不应该忽视这样一个事实，即这种哲学在科学方法论上也存在缺陷。现代化肯定是总体正确的。但我们必须纠正这个方法论上的错误，以追求我们要研究的富有成效的社会力量。因此，我们应该关注影响一个社区的声音、意见完全汇聚的过程，不是个别的，而是与多种组合联系在一起的，考虑它们各自的体面地位。这些过程就像光线在聚光棱镜中传输一样。他们是富有成效的社会力量的源泉。换句话说，富有成效的社会力量是最基本的结构，它将创造高管群体中人们通常聚集的能力。这种结构能够自组织吗？我们进行的结构分析是为了统一一种权力结构和一种信息结构，以及一种一般结构的逻辑。分析的目的是阐明由有影响力的人的朋友组成的整个网络在更大的意义上可以是什么形式，或者第三人称对网络有什么作用。幸运的是，得到了他们的慷慨理解，我们在南洋调研，收集了这两年非常重要的数据。因此，我们进行了对那里富有成效的社会力量的估计和预测，得出了一些结论，从总体上讲，该市可以被命名为“中心环城”型，并将在未来几年保持这种状态。我希望开始成长的“激情市民”能够成功。较少

The notion that it is an age when regions or districts can be independent as economic, cultural, and political centers has been common for years. This should have been understood as the dawn of the new self organizing modernization that regions or districts promote by themselves. But in fact, this expected kind of modernization is only an imitation of that in the central, big urban cases or something useless strongly influenced by them. Why couldn't they establish and obtain their own goals under the self-modernization ? Thus it is social forces that seek for such a spontaneous development process as self-modernization. Modernization indeed, on the one hand, changed politics of power into politics of information and, on the other hand, provided infestations of the exercise of the referendum right and of superficial and colorful democracy, which are something similar to a politics with a lack of substantive debate. This is the wrong current originated from the philosophy of modern indiv … More isualism, and we should not overlook the fact that this philosophy also includes defects in its scientific methodology.Surely modernization will be generally right. But we must correct this methodological fault to pursue fruitful social forces that we are to study. Accordinglywe should focus the processes that influencial voices, opinions of a community wholly converges, not indivisually but connectedly to many kinds of combinations, considered each respectable position of them. These processes are as if a ray transmits in a condensing prism. They are the sources of fruitful social forces. Put in other words, fruitful social forces are the very basic structures which will create usual aggregated abilities of people in the executive community.Is the structure able to be self-organizing ? The structure analysis we carry out is designed for unifying both a type of power structure and a type of information structure along with the logic of a type of general structure. The analysis is to clarify what the form of the whole network consisting of friends of an influencial person in a larger meaning could be, or what the function which "the third person" had on the network was. Fortunately getting their generous comprehensions for us, we made research in Nanyo city, to collect very important data for these two years. So we executed the estimation and the forecast of fruitful social forces there, and as a result, we reach some conclusions that generally speaking, the city can be named to the "Central Around" type, and will keep this state fornext some years. I hope that "The passionate citizens" which starts to grow up will become succesful. Less