Development of Decision Support Systems in Ambiguous Environments and Its Application

模糊环境下决策支持系统的开发及其应用

• 批准号: 10430015
• 负责人: SEO Fumiko
• 金额: $ 5.7万
• 依托单位: Setsunan University
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
• 财政年份: 1998
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 1998 至 1999
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-10430015/
• 关键词: Fuzzy utility theory; Decisoin making; Group decision making; Uncertainty; Fuzzy mathematical programming; Fuzzy game; Possibilistic utility; Negotiation analysis; 多属性効用関数; 意思決定支援システム; あいまいさ; 意思決定分析; ゲーム理論; 生産計画; 非線型計画問題

Aim of Research : This research concerns presenting the methodologies for treating decision making in ambiguous environments. In particular, We are concerned with extending decision analysis to multiobjective and group decisions.Executed Research Plan : The contents and the method of our research are as follows.1. Basic Research of decision support systems for constructing probabilistic multiattribute utility functions(1) Construction of possibilistic utility functions based on classical decision analysis and its fuzzy extensions are presented. In addition, the possibilistic utility models as an extension of the probabilistic utility models is presented. The use of this model in the incomplete information structure also is examined for assessing the multiple evaluation of risk prospects. (2) Negotiation analysis for constructive conflict solving is examined and the enlargement of the negotiation zone is discussed along with introducing uncertainty.2. Fuzzy mathematical programming approach for seeking the optimal solutions for game theoretic problems.The methods for treating various modeling for fuzzy game theoretic problems are presented. Interactive decision processes in the 2-level decision systems also are discussed.Development of interactive computer-aided decision support systems for decision analysis under uncertainty.(1) Existing computer programs, MAP and IDASS, which has been developed by our research group were revised and the new version of the discussions for those programs were presented. (2) A new computer program with interactive assessment and calculation processes for aiding the multiattribute decision analysis under uncertainty was developed.

研究目的：本研究关注在模糊环境中处理决策的方法。我们特别关注将决策分析扩展到多目标和群体决策。已执行的研究计划：我们的研究内容和方法如下。构造概率多属性效用函数的决策支持系统基础研究(1)提出了基于经典决策分析的概率效用函数的构造及其模糊扩展。此外，还提出了作为概率实用新型的延伸的可能性实用新型。本文还研究了该模型在不完全信息结构下对风险前景的多重评估的应用。(2)研究了建设性冲突解决的谈判分析，讨论了谈判区域的扩大以及不确定性的引入。寻求博弈论问题最优解的模糊数学规划方法。给出了处理模糊博弈论问题的各种建模方法。讨论了两级决策系统中的交互决策过程。不确定条件下交互式计算机辅助决策支持系统的开发。(1)对本课题组开发的现有计算机程序MAP和IDASS进行了修订，并对这些程序提出了新的讨论版本。(2)开发了一种新的具有交互式评估和计算过程的计算机程序，以辅助不确定条件下的多属性决策分析。

项目成果

坂和 正敏: "Interactive Fuzzy Programming for Multi-Level Linear Programming Problems with Fuzzy Parameters"Fuzzy Sets and Systems. 109. 3-19 (2000)

Masatoshi Sakawa：“带有模糊参数的多级线性规划问题的交互式模糊编程”模糊集和系统。109. 3-19 (2000)。

矢野 均: "Interactive Fuzzy Decision Making for Multiobjective 0-1 Programming Problems through Revised Genetic Algorithm"Far East Journal of Mathematica Sciences. 1. 181-200 (1999)

Hitoshi Yano：“通过修订的遗传算法进行多目标 0-1 规划问题的交互式模糊决策”远东数学科学杂志 1. 181-200 (1999)。

矢野 均: "Fuzzy Interactive Decision Making for Multiobjective 2-Level Nonlinear Programming Problems"Proceedings of IEEE International Conference for IEEE Systems, Man and Cybernetics,. 2. 1024-1029 (1999)

Hitoshi Yano：“多目标 2 级非线性规划问题的模糊交互决策”IEEE 系统、人与控制论国际会议论文集，2. 1024-1029 (1999)。

Nishizaki, Ichirou (with M. Sakawa): "Interactive Fuzzy Programming for Cooperate Two-Level Linear Functional Programming Problem with Multiple Decision Makers"International Journal of Fuzzy Systems. 1, No.1. 48-59 (1999)

Nishizaki, Ichirou（与 M. Sakawa）：“用于与多个决策者合作的两级线性函数规划问题的交互式模糊编程”国际模糊系统杂志。

瀬尾芙巳子: "ファジイ決定分析とファジイ効用評価"日本ファジイ学会誌. 11・5. 721-733 (1999)

Fumiko Seo：“模糊决策分析和模糊效用评估”日本模糊学会杂志11・5（1999）。