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Study on the Influence of Social Economic Shift in Urban Activities to the Travel Demand and the City Structure

城市活动社会经济转移对出行需求和城市结构的影响研究

基本信息

批准号：
11650548
负责人：
CHISHAKI Takeshi
金额：
$ 1.98万
依托单位：
KYUSHU UNIVERSITY
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
财政年份：
1999
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
1999 至 2001
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-11650548/
关键词：
Land Use Travel Demand Structure City Structure Land Use Planning Travel Demand Forecasting Model Transportation Planning パーソントリップ交通目的連関交通行動特性都市構造分析

项目摘要

Recently, there has been much changing the structure of urban activities such as a great increase of aged persons, expansion of working women in society, development of soft industries or economics and so on. It is to say that our urban society is bringing out a shift of social-economic mechanism. This change of urban activity's structure is greatly affecting on the land use and changing the root of travel demand structure.Therefore, it is necessary to go along with the current of social-economic activities for making a land use plan or transportation plan of city. And, for the built-up of a predicting system of travel demand, it is required to consider mutual relationships among social-economic activity, land use and travel and travel demand are studied in this paper and demand.Predicting models and systems of land use following three points are major results.(1) A series of predicting models of trip production, trip generation ＆ attraction and time distribution models of trip generat … More ion have been built up, considering the difference in individual personal attributes. As a result, understanding a future shift of social-economical activities in a city, the structure of travel demand, was clarified and the prediction of travel demand has been made possible.(2) The changing structure of urban land use was analyzed. That is, it was found that the changing components of land use are given by the promotion of scheduled large scale projects and the stochastic transition of land use. It was also found that the change of land use could be explained by land use patterns and the distribution of land use classifications in each pattern. In addition, a prediction system of land use was developed, which could respond to the current of social economic activity.(3) Examining the relationship between the land use and travel demand, the influence of land use to the travel demand was analyzed in detail. Besides, the strategies for the parking problem in urban central area, the loading problem in business district and the change in urban structure based on the construction of commercial facilities were discussed. Less

近年来，城市活动的结构发生了很大的变化，如老年人口的大量增加、社会职业女性的扩大、软产业或经济的发展等。可以说，我们的城市社会正在引发一场社会经济机制的转换。城市活动结构的这种变化对土地利用产生了很大的影响，从根本上改变了出行需求结构，因此，有必要顺应社会经济活动的潮流，制定城市的土地利用规划或交通规划。为了建立交通需求预测系统，本文对社会经济活动、土地利用与出行需求之间的相互关系进行了研究，主要取得了以下三点的研究成果：(1)建立了一系列的出行产量预测模型、出行生成吸引模型和出行生成时间分布模型，并在此基础上建立了基于…的出行需求预测模型考虑到个体个人属性的差异，建立了更多的离子。明确了城市未来社会经济活动的变化--出行需求结构，为出行需求预测提供了可能。(2)分析了城市土地利用结构的变化。也就是说，土地利用的变化成分是由预定的大型项目的推进和土地利用的随机过渡所给出的。研究还发现，土地利用的变化可以通过土地利用模式和土地利用分类在每种模式中的分布来解释。此外，还开发了土地利用预测系统，能够响应社会经济活动的变化趋势。(3)考察了土地利用与出行需求的关系，详细分析了土地利用对出行需求的影响。并对城市中心区停车问题、商务区负荷问题以及以商业设施建设为基础的城市结构变化的对策进行了探讨。较少