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Study on Estimation and Application of Regional Input-Output Model

区域投入产出模型估算及应用研究

基本信息

批准号：
12630030
负责人：
YAMADA Mitsuo
金额：
$ 1.98万
依托单位：
Chukyo University
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
财政年份：
2000
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2000 至 2002
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-12630030/
关键词：
input-output table regional economy interregional table non-survey method 波及効果分析

项目摘要

This research is on the estimation and application of regional input-output models. First, we make the database of regional input output tables in Japan in the comparable forms. Comparing these input-output tables, we find that regional tables in Japan are made almost by a common estimate method, and judged that the accuracy is roughly satisfying compared with a nationwide table and the MITI's table.Regional input-output tables have been often used for the policy evaluation analysis and the economic impact analysis. Because the regional economy usually exceeds administrative area like prefecture and city, they bring results with high rate of demand leakage. Moreover, the analysis using a prefectural input output table might not be able to capture the diversification of the actual economy in the prefecture. Then we conduct the research on two types of the interregional input output tables. One is an input output table between prefectures, in which five prefectures of Chubu region are tr … More eated as a case, and the other is a table of sub-regions within a prefecture, where Mie Prefecture was picked up as a case. In both tables, the estimate of trade flows among regions is the most important, and we adopted the iterative RAS method to estimate them. We showed this method is an appropriate way to estimate the trade flows easily and consistently, only if appropriate initial values were given. It is thought that the interregional input output table is useful, because analysis using this table seams to break through the limitation of the analysis by the prefectural input output table against diversification and expansion of the regional economy.The estimation of input output tables for smaller region like city and village is going to increase in the future, we investigate the estimation method of such tables. We pick up the tables of Nagoya City and Tienchin City in China. Because basic economic statistics concerning the trade flows between such regions were thought to be insufficient, complemental method, such a non-survey method, would be required. We attempt to make use of Location Quotient Method to estimate the input output table of above two cities. We applied these tables economic structural analysis for the former and environmental analysis for the latter. Less

本研究是关于区域投入产出模型的估计与应用。首先，我们以可比的形式建立了日本地区投入产出表数据库。比较这些投入产出表，我们发现日本的地区表几乎是用一种通用的估计方法制作的，与全国表和通产省表相比，我们判断其准确性大致令人满意。区域投入产出表常用于政策评价分析和经济影响分析。由于区域经济通常超过州、市等行政区域，它们带来的结果是高需求泄漏率。此外，使用地级投入产出表进行分析可能无法捕捉到地级实际经济的多样化。然后对两种类型的区域间投入产出表进行了研究。一个是县之间的输入输出表，其中中部地区的5个县作为一个案例，另一个是县内的子区域表，其中三重县作为一个案例。在这两个表中，区域间贸易流量的估计是最重要的，我们采用迭代RAS方法对它们进行估计。我们表明，只有在给出适当的初始值的情况下，这种方法才能轻松一致地估计贸易流量。区域间投入产出表的分析有望突破地级市投入产出表对区域经济多元化和扩张分析的局限性，具有一定的借鉴意义。城市和村庄等小区域的投入产出表的估计将在未来增加，我们研究了这类表的估计方法。我们拿起了中国名古屋市和天津市的桌子。由于关于这些区域之间贸易流动的基本经济统计数据被认为不足，因此需要一种补充方法，即这种非调查方法。我们尝试用区位商法估计上述两个城市的投入产出表。我们对前者进行了经济结构分析，对后者进行了环境分析。少