Study on Estimation and Application of Regional Input-Output Model

区域投入产出模型估算及应用研究

基本信息

批准号：
12630030
负责人：
YAMADA Mitsuo
金额：
$ 1.98万
依托单位：
Chukyo University
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
财政年份：
2000
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2000 至 2002
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-12630030/
关键词：
input-output table regional economy interregional table non-survey method 波及効果分析

项目摘要

This research is on the estimation and application of regional input-output models. First, we make the database of regional input output tables in Japan in the comparable forms. Comparing these input-output tables, we find that regional tables in Japan are made almost by a common estimate method, and judged that the accuracy is roughly satisfying compared with a nationwide table and the MITI's table.Regional input-output tables have been often used for the policy evaluation analysis and the economic impact analysis. Because the regional economy usually exceeds administrative area like prefecture and city, they bring results with high rate of demand leakage. Moreover, the analysis using a prefectural input output table might not be able to capture the diversification of the actual economy in the prefecture. Then we conduct the research on two types of the interregional input output tables. One is an input output table between prefectures, in which five prefectures of Chubu region are tr … More eated as a case, and the other is a table of sub-regions within a prefecture, where Mie Prefecture was picked up as a case. In both tables, the estimate of trade flows among regions is the most important, and we adopted the iterative RAS method to estimate them. We showed this method is an appropriate way to estimate the trade flows easily and consistently, only if appropriate initial values were given. It is thought that the interregional input output table is useful, because analysis using this table seams to break through the limitation of the analysis by the prefectural input output table against diversification and expansion of the regional economy.The estimation of input output tables for smaller region like city and village is going to increase in the future, we investigate the estimation method of such tables. We pick up the tables of Nagoya City and Tienchin City in China. Because basic economic statistics concerning the trade flows between such regions were thought to be insufficient, complemental method, such a non-survey method, would be required. We attempt to make use of Location Quotient Method to estimate the input output table of above two cities. We applied these tables economic structural analysis for the former and environmental analysis for the latter. Less

这项研究是关于区域投入输出模型的估计和应用。首先，我们以可比的形式使日本的区域输入输出表的数据库。比较这些投入输出表，我们发现日本的区域表几乎是通过共同估算方法制成的，并认为与国家表和MITI的表相比，该准确性是大致满意的。区域输入输出表经常用于政策评估分析和经济影响分析。由于区域经济通常超过公平和城市等行政领域，因此它们的需求泄漏率很高。此外，使用相当输入输出表的分析可能无法捕获理想中实际经济的多元化。然后，我们对两种类型的区域输入输出表进行研究。一个是一个理想之间的输入输出表，其中五个理想的丘布区是tr…更多地吃掉的情况，另一个是一个在博览会中的子区域表，在该表中，将MIE县视为一个情况。在这两个表中，地区之间贸易流的估计是最重要的，我们采用了迭代的RAS方法来估计它们。我们表明，只有在给出适当的初始值时，这种方法是一种容易且一致地估算贸易流量的合适方法。人们认为，区域间输入输出表很有用，因为使用此表接缝的分析通过公平输入输出表破坏分析的限制，以防止区域经济的多元化和扩展。估计较小地区和村庄（例如City and Village）的输入输出表将来会增加，我们研究了此类调整量的估计方法。我们拿起中国纳戈亚市和tienchin City的桌子。由于有关此类地区之间贸易流的基本经济统计是不足的，完整的方法，因此需要这种非调查方法。我们尝试利用位置商方法来估计两个城市上方的输入输出表。我们将这些表经济结构分析应用于以前的环境分析。较少的