Comprehensive Research on the Present and Future of Building Construction Market and Industry

本研究项目历时三年，于2004年定稿，包括对建筑市场、建筑行业和建筑施工专业技能的调查、听证、分析和研究。在对建筑市场的研究中，调查了住房需求和非住房需求的统计趋势。同时，研究了统计数据与当前建筑施工需求背景以及未来建筑施工需求趋势的关系。对各国建筑建设需求与GDP关系的分析结果显示，未来住房需求可能会出现严重下降，而这些天来一直低迷的非住房需求不太可能进一步下降。并指出建筑施工行业应与建筑股份制相结合。在建筑施工…的研究中分析了更多的离子行业，业主和总承包商之间可靠性的变化以及他们在谈判中的地位的变化。据透露，业主已将全部责任推给了一般承包商，尽管建筑工程通常是在承包商的控制下进行的。分析结果还表明，由于业主的购房意识发生了变化，这种制度现在正在发生变化。还提出了建筑建筑业结构变化的可能性。在对建筑行业专业技能的研究中发现，新建建筑施工项目对各种专业技能的需求将会下降，而针对建筑存量市场的专业技能需求将随着建筑施工专业技能供求平衡的变化而增加，预计成人再培训和大学教育的内容应该发生变化。报告还指出，不仅业主的支助任务需要新的专业技能，而且各种各样的建筑活动也需要新的专业技能。较少

This research project, consisting of surveys, hearings, analyses, and studies on building construction market, building construction industry, and professional skills in building construction, has been conducted for three years, and was finalized in 2004.In the research on the building construction market, the statistical trends of housing demand and non-housing demand was investigated. At the same time, the relationship between the statistical data and the current background as well as the future trend of building construction demand was studied. The results of analysis of the relationship between building construction demand and GDP in various countries reveal that the housing demand is likely to severely decline in the future, whereas the non-housing demand that has remained sluggish these days is not likely to further decline. Moreover, it, is pointed out that the building construction industry should prepare with the building stock society.In the research on the building construct … More ion industry, changes in the reliability between owners and general contractors as well as changes in their position in negotiations were analyzed. It is revealed that, owners have thrown full responsibility on general contractors, though building construction work has been conventionally carried out under the control of the contractors. The analytical results also show that such a system is now changing due to a change in owners' awareness on building purchasing. A possibility of structural change in the building construction industry is also suggested. It is pointed out that owners' position in ordering might gain more importance during such a structural change.In the research on the professional skills for building construction industry, it is revealed that the demand for various professional skills required for construction project of new buildings will decline, while the demand for professional skills targeted at the building stock market will increase In accordance with a change in a balance between supply side and demand side for professional skills in building construction, it is expected that the content of adult retraining and university education should be changed. It is also pointed out that the need for new professional skills will be highly expected not only for the support tasks for owners but also for a wide variety of building construction activities. Less