Development of Micro-Simulation System for Urban Management in Shrinking Urban Areas

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The objective of this study is to develop urban micro-simulation and the way of policy evaluation by means of it as a tool for decision making on sustainable urban management for urban areas that are going to shrink with decreasing population and change of household structure. The micro-simulation system on future household location and housing choice has been developed based on the micro-data of households and residences gotten by the questionnaire survey conducted in Toyama which has 420 thousands of population. Furthermore, the evaluation on housing policy with the simulation as well as the way of policy measures choice has been proposed.