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Mechanisms of Protest Voting: A Proposal of Analyses to Integrate Elections, Parties, and Voters

抗议投票机制：整合选举、政党和选民的分析建议

基本信息

批准号：
22F22008
负责人：
日野愛郎
金额：
$ 1.02万
依托单位：
Waseda University
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for JSPS Fellows
财政年份：
2022
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2022-07-27 至 2024-03-31
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-22F22008/
关键词：
protest voting political disaffection populist attitudes anti-establishment counterfactual analysis

项目摘要

During the six months of my JSPS research stay, I had the opportunity to publish two co-authored book chapters: one on the effect of anti-establishment dynamics, such as politicization of EU integration, on voting behaviour (Brussels University Press) and one on the effects of representation dynamics including the so-called ‘partitocracy’ in Belgium (University of Louvain Press).Along with this, in October 2022 I also published a Special Issue of the academic journal Politics of the Low Countries exploring migrant political integration both as a topic framed by anti-establishment parties in their political discourse and as a phenomenon per se, requiring a thorough analysis of migrant political engagement and its systemic and attitudinal drivers.The research period helped me to reach relevant results also with respect to behavior-related research questions. Indeed, thanks to the analysis of multiple cross-country data, I could came to the conclusion that “protest motivations matter”, especially when it comes to strongly disaffected citizens, as their voting calculus tend to exhibit a lower impact of substantive considerations such as ideological proximity to parties and party size. A paper summarizing important results at the individual level in a cross-country perspective based on European Election Study data (ESS) is soon to be submitted to a highly ranked international Political Science journal (European Journal of Political Research).

在JSPS研究的六个月里，我有机会出版了两本合著的书：一个是关于反建制动态的影响，如欧盟一体化的政治化，对投票行为的影响（布鲁塞尔大学出版社）和一个代表动态的影响，包括所谓的'partitocracy'在比利时（鲁汶大学出版社）。沿着，我还于2022年10月出版了学术期刊《低地国家政治》的特刊，探讨移民政治融合作为反建制政党在其政治话语中框定的主题和作为一种现象本身，需要对移民的政治参与及其系统和态度驱动因素进行彻底分析。研究期间帮助我在行为相关的研究问题方面也取得了相关结果。事实上，由于对多个跨国数据的分析，我可以得出结论，“抗议动机很重要”，特别是当涉及到强烈不满的公民时，因为他们的投票计算往往表现出实质性考虑的影响较小，如意识形态接近政党和政党规模。一份基于欧洲选举研究数据（ESS）的跨国家视角总结个人层面重要结果的论文即将提交给一份排名靠前的国际政治学期刊（《欧洲政治研究杂志》）。