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Mechanisms of Protest Voting: A Proposal of Analyses to Integrate Elections, Parties, and Voters

抗议投票机制：整合选举、政党和选民的分析建议

基本信息

批准号：
22F22008
负责人：
日野愛郎
金额：
$ 1.02万
依托单位：
Waseda University
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for JSPS Fellows
财政年份：
2022
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2022-07-27 至 2024-03-31
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-22F22008/
关键词：
protest voting political disaffection populist attitudes anti-establishment counterfactual analysis

项目摘要

During the six months of my JSPS research stay, I had the opportunity to publish two co-authored book chapters: one on the effect of anti-establishment dynamics, such as politicization of EU integration, on voting behaviour (Brussels University Press) and one on the effects of representation dynamics including the so-called ‘partitocracy’ in Belgium (University of Louvain Press).Along with this, in October 2022 I also published a Special Issue of the academic journal Politics of the Low Countries exploring migrant political integration both as a topic framed by anti-establishment parties in their political discourse and as a phenomenon per se, requiring a thorough analysis of migrant political engagement and its systemic and attitudinal drivers.The research period helped me to reach relevant results also with respect to behavior-related research questions. Indeed, thanks to the analysis of multiple cross-country data, I could came to the conclusion that “protest motivations matter”, especially when it comes to strongly disaffected citizens, as their voting calculus tend to exhibit a lower impact of substantive considerations such as ideological proximity to parties and party size. A paper summarizing important results at the individual level in a cross-country perspective based on European Election Study data (ESS) is soon to be submitted to a highly ranked international Political Science journal (European Journal of Political Research).

在JSPS研究期间的六个月里，我有机会出版了两本合著的书：一个是关于反建制动态的影响，如欧盟一体化的政治化，对投票行为的影响(布鲁塞尔大学出版社)，另一个是关于代表动态的影响，包括比利时的所谓‘派系统治’(卢万大学出版社)。此外，2022年10月，我还出版了学术期刊《低国家政治学》的特刊，探讨移民政治融合，这既是反建制政党在其政治话语中框定的主题，也是一种现象本身。需要对移民政治参与及其系统性和态度驱动因素进行彻底分析。研究期间帮助我在与行为相关的研究问题上也取得了相关成果。事实上，通过对多个跨国数据的分析，我可以得出结论，“抗议动机很重要”，尤其是在涉及到心怀强烈不满的公民时，因为他们的投票计算往往显示出意识形态与政党接近和政党规模等实质性因素的影响较小。一篇以欧洲选举研究数据(ESS)为基础，以跨国视角总结个人层面重要成果的论文即将提交给排名靠前的国际政治学期刊(European Journal Of Political Research)。