RISKADAPT - Asset Level Modelling of RISKs In the Face of Climate Induced Extreme Events and ADAPTtation

RISKADAPT - 面对气候引发的极端事件和适应的风险资产水平建模

• 批准号: 10062091
• 金额: $ 16.48万
• 依托单位: UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: EU-Funded
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2023 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=10062091
• 关键词: RISKADAPT; Asset; Level; Modelling; RISKs

RISKADAPT will provide, in close cooperation with the end-users/other stakeholders, a novel, integrated, modular, interoperable, public and free, customizable user-friendly platform (PRISKADAPT), to support systemic, risk-informed decisions regarding adaptation to CC induced compound events at the asset level, focusing on the structural system. PRISKADAPT will explicitly model dependencies between infrastructures, which, inter alia, will provide a better understanding of the nexus between climate hazards and social vulnerabilities and resilience. Moreover, this project will identify gaps in data and propose ways to overcome them and advance the state of the art of asset level modelling through advanced climate science to predict CC forcing on the structure of interest, structural analyses, customized to the specific structure of interest, that consider all major CC induced load effects in tandem with material deterioration, novel probabilistic environmental life cycle assessment (LCA) and life cycle cost (LCC) of structural adaptation measures and a new model to assess climate risk that will combine technical risk assessment with assessment of social risks. PRISKADAPT will provide values to a set of indicators for each asset of interest, quantifying primary parameters and impacts, in the form of a Model Information System (MIS) that will provide all required information for adaptation decisions. PRISKADAPT will be implemented in the case studies in the pilots that involve specific assets, however, it will permit customization with local values of parameters and data, so it can be applicable throughout Europe for CC adaptation decisions involving assets of similar function, exposed to multiple climate hazards.

RISKADAPT将与最终用户/其他利益相关者密切合作，提供一个新颖的、集成的、模块化的、可互操作的、公共的、免费的、可定制的用户友好平台（PRISKADAPT），以支持系统的、风险知情的决策，以适应资产级别的CC诱导的复合事件，重点是结构系统。PRISKADAPT将明确模拟基础设施之间的依赖关系，这将更好地了解气候灾害与社会脆弱性和复原力之间的关系。此外，该项目将确定数据中的差距，并提出克服这些差距的方法，并通过先进的气候科学来推进资产水平建模的最新技术，以预测利益结构上的CC强迫，结构分析，根据特定的利益结构定制，考虑所有主要的CC诱导载荷效应与材料劣化相结合。结构适应措施的新型概率环境生命周期评估（LCA）和生命周期成本（LCC），以及将技术风险评估与社会风险评估相结合的气候风险评估新模型。PRISKADAPT将以模型信息系统（MIS）的形式，为每项感兴趣的资产提供一组指标的值，量化主要参数和影响，该系统将为适应决策提供所有所需的信息。PRISKADAPT将在涉及特定资产的试点案例研究中实施，然而，它将允许使用本地参数和数据值进行定制，因此它可以适用于整个欧洲涉及类似功能的资产的CC适应决策，暴露于多种气候危害。