MIGRATION AND EMPLOYMENT STRATEGIES IN TIJUANA, MEXICO

本研究的目的是了解墨西哥与美国边境城市蒂华纳的工业化如何影响移民到美国的可能性。过去三十年就业的扩大预计会减少移徙的可能性，但与这一预期相反，移徙流量增加了。主要假设是，基于性别的家庭就业策略维持了以男性为主的高移民率，而女性在墨西哥的就业率则有所增加。由于之前没有调查收集美国移民和墨西哥劳动力参与率的数据，因此无法获得验证这一假设的数据。使用事件历史分析来检查男性和女性移民和女性劳动力参与的概率，将揭示蒂华纳的家庭成员如何选择或协调蒂华纳的工作和美国的就业。

The goal of this research is to learn how the industrialization of Tijuana, a city on the Mexican border with the US, has affected the probability of migration to the United States. The expansion of employment in the past three decades was expected to reduce the probability of migration but contrary to this expectation migration flows have increased. The main hypothesis is that gender-based household employment strategies have maintained high rates of mostly male migration to the US while women have increased their employment in Mexico. Data to test this hypothesis were not previously available since no surveys collected data on both US migration and labor force participation in Mexico. Using event history analyses to examine probabilities of male and female migration and female labor force participation will shed light on how household members in Tijuana choose between or coordinate jobs in Tijuana and employment in the US.