Fire regimes and demographic responses interact to threaten woody species

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This project aims to extend and test an Interval Squeeze conceptual model which predicts fire-climate interaction effects on plant species persistence. Complex processes affect future species persistence, and an evidence-based conceptual framework is needed. Working across two continents, this project will quantify the effects of projected shortening of fire intervals, lower rainfall and elevated temperatures on woody plant species. Field evidence spans global change predictions, ecosystems and species representing key system dominants and functional response types. The project will synthesise this data into larger simulation models and extend its conceptual framework to directly inform conservation and fire management.