Centre for the Evaluation of Complexity Across the Nexus (CECAN)

由于人们日益认识到政策和政策执行的复杂性，加环委在能源、粮食、水和环境政策的政策评价方面进行了创新。该中心开发和扩展了政策评价方法，建立了基于案例研究的研究人员、评价从业人员、决策者和分析人员之间的共同制作，并发展了一种灵活的、以问题为导向的多机构、多学科中心的运作方式。虽然已经产生了高影响力的工作（见第3部分：迄今为止的关键产出和影响），但CECAN所要实现的那种转型在30个月内无法实现。CECAN 2是对以往成就的巩固，也是对第一阶段获得的见解和英国面临的新挑战的回应。它将使中心能够开发和实施其创新、知识交流和共同制作，目标是长期可持续运作。CECAN 2是特别及时的，因为一些驱动因素同时使评估和评价的复杂性变得更加重要。英国脱欧是英国几十年来最复杂的政策和监管变化，对权力下放国家之间可能日益分歧的关系产生了相关影响。“大数据”问题，包括其机遇和风险，几乎都是新闻报道的焦点，因此，未来的一个关键挑战是政府各部门和部门之间的数据连接，特别是在公私伙伴关系和混合模式的背景下。间接和意外的影响越来越多地在整个网络中表现出来：例如，农村基础设施的下降对环境（更多的汽车运输）和健康/福祉（更多的孤立和孤独）都产生了不利影响。迫切需要采取更大规模和更长期的办法，以应对政策的累积影响和跨部门的“连锁”效应。最后，公共和私营部门的决策将受到日益增加的自动化的严重影响，目前还不清楚对治理的影响。目前的政府管理程序不足以应对这些多重挑战，迫切需要将评价和复杂性思维更多地纳入其中。CECAN 2旨在确保我们所接触的从业者和政策制定者具备最佳方法来应对未来的复杂性。为第二次气候行动中心设想的工作分为五个方面：1：探讨适合复杂性的评价方法在整个政策周期中可以作出的贡献。第二章：CECAN方法创新实验室：3：在真实的世界中测试和完善与复杂性相适应的评价方法，以共同制定解决方案，应对政策制定和分析中的复杂性所带来的评价挑战。确保CECAN的未来，利用ESRC的中心过渡资金深化现有的伙伴关系，并建立新的伙伴关系，以确保CECAN的工作的替代和长期资金。

Responding to the increasing recognition of complexity of policy and policy implementation, CECAN produced innovation in policy evaluation for policies relating to energy, food, water and the environment (the 'Nexus'). CECAN developed and extended methods for policy evaluation, established case study based co-production between researchers, evaluation practitioners, policy makers and analysts and evolved an agile, problem driven way of running a multi-institutional, multi-disciplinary centre. While having produced high impact work (see Part 3: Key outputs and impacts to date), the kind of transformation CECAN set out to bring about is not achievable in 30 months. CECAN 2 is a consolidation of previous achievements, and a response to insights gained in the first phase and to new challenges faced by the UK. It will allow the Centre to develop and implement its innovations, knowledge exchange and co-production, with the goal of operating sustainably in the long term. CECAN 2 is particularly timely as a number of drivers are coinciding to make complexity appropriate approaches to appraisal and evaluation ever more vital. Brexit is the most complex policy and regulatory change in the UK for decades, with associated impacts on the potentially increasingly divergent relationship between the devolved nations. The issue of "big data", both its opportunities and risks, is rarely far from the news, so a key future challenge is data linkage across Government departments and sectors, particularly in the context of public-private partnerships and hybrid models. Indirect and unintended effects are increasingly being demonstrated across the Nexus: for example, declines in rural infrastructure have adverse consequences for both the environment (more car transport) and health/wellbeing (more isolation and loneliness). Larger-scale and longer-term approaches are urgently needed to account for the cumulative impact of policies and "knock-on" effects across sectors. Finally, decision-making in both the public and private sector will be severely impacted by increasing automation, with currently unknown consequences for governance. Current Government management processes are not well-equipped to deal with these multiple challenges and urgently need to have evaluation and complexity thinking more embedded within them. CECAN 2 aims to ensure that the practitioners and policy-makers we engage with are equipped with the best methods to negotiate this future complexity . The work envisaged for CECAN 2 is organised into five streams:1: Exploring the contribution that complexity-appropriate evaluation methods can make across the full policy cycle. 2: CECAN Methods Innovation Lab: delivering innovation in complexity-appropriate evaluation methods by exploration of the full range of new and emerging methods.3: Real world testing and refining of complexity-appropriate evaluation methods to co-produce solutions to the evaluation challenges posed by complexity in policy making and analysis.4: Building individual and institutional capacity to deliver complexity-appropriate policy analysis 5: Securing CECAN's future, using ESRC's Centre Transition Funding to deepen existing partnerships and build new ones to secure alternative and long-term funding for CECAN's work.