Queen's University Belfast NISRA BDR Programme

贝尔法斯特女王大学 NISRA BDR 项目

• 批准号: ES/X008045/1
• 负责人: Karolis Matikonis
• 金额: $ 5.97万
• 依托单位: Queen's University Belfast
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2023 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=ES%2FX008045%2F1
• 关键词: Queen; University; Belfast; NISRA; BDR

The Northern Irish economy has low productivity, present even prior to the troubles encountered from the late 1960s (Hitchens and Birnie, 1989). To solve this historical underperformance, numerous policies have been implemented with limited success. The current foundation of DfE's 10x vision, to enable productivity growth through specific technologies and clusters, may seem to be guided by similar ideas as capital subsidies present during the third industrial revolution. However, the environment has changed drastically, and we now live in a new phase of the industrial process focusing on real-time data, interconnectivity, machine learning and automation, often referred to as Industry 4.0 (Lasi et al., 2014). Although COVID-19 has accelerated this phase by forcing companies and the Government to prioritise digitalisation (gov.uk, 2020), understanding of this trend is still limited. Adopting advanced technology in this phase was shown to result in productivity gains (Brynjolfsson and McAfee, 2011 and 2014; Gal et al., 2019) and lack of adoption was attributed to the slowing down in productivity growth across Europe (van Ark, 2016), yet it is still unclear how it affects the NI economy. Initial findings suggest a limited impact of digitalisation on productivity at least in the shorter term (Lound et al., 2021). It could also increase unemployment, social inequality, mistrust (Acemoglu et al., 2020) and even populism (Levy, 2018). This project will develop an evidence base on how digitalisation affects the NI economy, including productivity and employment dynamics, that could be key to tackling the long term NI productivity puzzle and technological anxiety amongst the population.In addition to this, the project will produce a bespoke analysis targeted at supporting the 10x vision. DfE's 10x vision focuses on enabling specific clusters, namely (1) digital, ICT and creative industries, (2) fintech/ financial services, (3) life and health sciences, (4) agri-tech and (5) advanced manufacturing and engineering, to drive innovation that facilitates productivity gains and distributes the resulting benefits to the whole population. It also offers the three main pillars of how success will be assessed: innovation-led economic growth, inclusive growth and green growth. This project will compare companies in those clusters to other organisations in their investment in technological advancements between 2014 and 2020 and measure the extent of resulting benefits, including economic growth, inclusive growth and green growth. The project will utilise the Northern Ireland Annual Business Inquiry, which is uniquely placed to investigate subsidies, investment in computers and machinery and how they affect tax collections, productivity, employment dynamics and green growth.

北方爱尔兰经济的生产率很低，甚至在20世纪60年代末遇到麻烦之前就已经存在了（Hitlynn和Birnie，1989年）。为了解决这一历史性的业绩不佳问题，实施了许多政策，但成效有限。DfE的10倍愿景目前的基础是通过特定的技术和集群实现生产力增长，这似乎与第三次工业革命期间的资本补贴类似。然而，环境已经发生了巨大的变化，我们现在生活在工业过程的新阶段，专注于实时数据，互联性，机器学习和自动化，通常被称为工业4.0（Lasi等人，2014年）。尽管COVID-19加速了这一阶段，迫使企业和政府优先考虑数字化（gov.uk，2020年），但对这一趋势的理解仍然有限。在这一阶段采用先进技术可以提高生产率（Brynjolfsson和McAfee，2011年和2014年; Gal等人，2019年）和缺乏采用归因于整个欧洲的生产率增长放缓（货车方舟，2016年），但目前还不清楚它如何影响北爱尔兰经济。初步研究结果表明，至少在短期内，数字化对生产力的影响有限（Lound等人，2021年）。它还可能增加失业、社会不平等、不信任（Acemoglu等人，民粹主义（Levy，2018）。该项目将为数字化如何影响北爱尔兰经济（包括生产力和就业动态）建立一个证据基础，这可能是解决长期北爱尔兰生产力难题和民众技术焦虑的关键。除此之外，该项目还将为支持10倍愿景提供定制分析。DfE的10倍愿景侧重于实现特定集群，即（1）数字，ICT和创意产业，（2）金融科技/金融服务，（3）生命和健康科学，（4）农业技术和（5）先进制造和工程，以推动创新，促进生产力提高并将由此产生的利益分配给全体人口。它还提出了评估成功的三大支柱：创新引领的经济增长、包容性增长和绿色增长。该项目将比较这些集群中的公司与其他组织在2014年至2020年期间对技术进步的投资，并衡量由此产生的效益，包括经济增长，包容性增长和绿色增长。该项目将利用北方爱尔兰年度商业调查，该调查具有独特的优势，可以调查补贴、计算机和机械投资以及它们如何影响税收、生产力、就业动态和绿色增长。