Shifting Baselines of Climate Change Adaptation

最近的国际报告强调了当前适应气候变化努力的不足，包括对基于自然的解决方案的低估。使用以自然为基础的适应解决方案面临的一个挑战是基线变化综合症，它指的是在世代之间和在个人生命过程中，公认的环境条件规范的无意识、逐渐变化。虽然SBS已经围绕渔业科学讨论了几十年，但它还没有被纳入关于适应的思考中。在我硕士论文的基础上，我提出了一个解决SBS对适应的社会生态后果的概念性框架，我的项目将调查湖区和苏格兰邦洛伊特的社会生态系统的适应。我将：(I)评估主要土地使用者和其他适应决策者中SBS的流行情况；(Ii)调查目前的适应方法，并确定SBS对适应规划的影响程度；以及(Iii)与当地土地使用者合作，共同制定适应计划，以考虑到较长期的社会生态变化。该项目与联合国生态系统恢复十年和英国政府的重新野生议程同时进行，将为研究人员、政策制定者和土地使用者自己提供有价值的见解，帮助他们将长期视角纳入基于自然的适应努力。

Recent international reports have highlighted shortcomingsin current efforts to adapt to climate change, including theundervaluation of nature-based solutions. One challengefacing the use of nature-based solutions for adaptation isshifting baseline syndrome, which refers to theunconscious, gradual change in the accepted norms for thecondition of the environment across generations and overthe course of individual lives. While SBS has been indiscourses around fisheries science for decades, it has notbeen incorporated into thinking on adaptation. Building onmy master's thesis, in which I proposed a conceptualframework for addressing the social-ecologicalconsequences of SBS for adaptation, my project willinvestigate the adaptation of social-ecological systems inthe Lake District and in Bunloit, Scotland. I will: (i) assessthe prevalence of SBS among key land users and otheradaptation decision-makers; (ii) investigate currentadaptation approaches and determine the extent to whichSBS is influencing adaptation planning; and (iii) work withlocal land users to co-develop adaptation plans whichaccount for longer-term social-ecological change. Co-occurring with the UN Decade on Ecosystem Restorationand the UK government's rewilding agenda, this project willprovide valuable insights for researchers, policymakers,and land users themselves on building long-termperspectives into 'nature-based' adaptation efforts.