Vulnerability and resilience of global port infrastructure networks and supply chains to compound flooding

全球港口基础设施网络和供应链对复合洪水的脆弱性和恢复能力

• 批准号: 2863165
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: University of Oxford
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Studentship
• 财政年份: 2019
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2019 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=studentship-2863165
• 关键词: Vulnerability; resilience; global; port; infrastructure

"This DPhil research aims to perform a systemic vulnerability assessment of global ports and its interdependent network from flooding by combining a network vulnerability analysis with supply chain impacts. It further aims to develop a modelling platform that can serve as a tool for resilience analysis and assessment of various adaptation options to reduce risk under projections of future flood extremes and socio-economic developments. This research can thus be split in three components: (I) to assess the current and future vulnerabilities of global port infrastructure to impacts from singular/compound flood events (both a serviceability and ultimate limit state perspective), including the spatial cross-correlation between flood events within a regional/continental scale; (II) to quantify the current and future indirect economic damages of disruptions in the global supply chains from singular/compound flood events to ports; (III) to develop and test a range of possible decision/adaptation options within a decision-making framework that aims at increasing the resilience of global port networks and supporting supply chains."

“这项博士研究旨在通过将网络脆弱性分析与供应链影响相结合，对全球港口及其相互依存的网络在洪水面前进行系统性脆弱性评估。它的进一步目标是开发一个建模平台，可以作为复原力分析和评估各种适应方案的工具，以减少未来洪水极端情况和社会经济发展预测下的风险。因此，这项研究可以分为三个部分：（I）评估当前和 全球港口基础设施未来对单一/复合洪水事件影响的脆弱性（从适用性和最终极限状态角度），包括区域/大陆范围内洪水事件之间的空间互相关性； (II) 量化单一/复合洪水事件对港口造成的全球供应链中断造成的当前和未来间接经济损失； (III) 开发和测试一系列可能的方案 决策框架内的决策/适应选项，旨在提高全球港口网络的弹性并支持供应链。”