Developing econometric models to examine activity based model elements: residential location and vehicle ownership, mode choice and physical activity participation

开发计量经济模型来检查基于活动的模型要素：居住地点和车辆拥有量、模式选择和体育活动参与

• 批准号: 402315-2011
• 负责人: Eluru, Naveen
• 金额: $ 1.82万
• 依托单位: McGill University
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Discovery Grants Program - Individual
• 财政年份: 2011
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2011-01-01 至 2012-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=488018
• 关键词: Developing; econometric; models; examine; activity

Transportation researchers have shifted towards a disaggregate behavior oriented activity based framework to analyze travel behavior. The activity based modeling framework attempts to replace the statistical travel prediction focus of the traditional trip based model framework with a more behavioral approach that explicitly recognizes the fundamental role of activity participation as a precursor to travel. The formulation and development of activity based frameworks requires recognition that socio-demographics, activity travel behavior, and land-use transportation networks are interconnected. For this reason, there has been growing interest within the transportation community to develop integrated activity based frameworks for travel behavior modeling. The current research proposal contributes to the existing literature on integrated activity based frameworks by examining specific elements of an integrated activity based framework while simultaneously preparing a "blue print" for the development of an activity based model for Montreal urban region. Specifically, the proposal includes the following research tasks: (1) investigate the influence of residential self-selection on household vehicle ownership decisions (2) examine travel mode choice behavior in the context of emerging internet based technologies, (3) analyze physical activity participation and (4) develop a conceptual framework for an integrated activity based model for Montreal region. The research proposal is intended to span a period of five years with research team of undergraduate and graduate students who will gain considerably during the course of the implementation of the research project. The research tasks presented in the research proposal require a high level of inter-disciplinary knowledge in the fields of travel demand modeling, survey design, data mining, econometrics, and software programming. Further, the team members will gain from exposure to world class research in the field of transportation and econometrics by attending various conferences and collaborating with other prominent researchers in transportation.

交通研究者已经转向一个基于行为导向的框架来分析出行行为。基于活动的建模框架试图取代传统的基于旅行的模型框架的统计旅行预测的重点，更明确地认识到活动参与的基本作用，作为旅行的前兆行为的方法。基于活动的框架的制定和发展需要认识到，社会人口统计，活动旅行行为和土地使用交通网络是相互关联的。出于这个原因，在交通社区内，开发基于活动的旅行行为建模集成框架的兴趣越来越大。目前的研究提案通过审查基于活动的综合框架的具体内容，同时为蒙特利尔城市地区制定基于活动的模式编制“蓝图”，为现有的基于活动的综合框架文献做出了贡献。具体而言，该提案包括以下研究任务：（1）调查住宅自我选择对家庭车辆拥有决策的影响（2）在新兴互联网技术的背景下检查出行方式选择行为，（3）分析身体活动参与和（4）为蒙特利尔地区开发一个综合活动模型的概念框架。该研究提案旨在跨越五年的时间，本科生和研究生的研究团队将在研究项目的实施过程中获得相当大的收益。研究建议中提出的研究任务需要在出行需求建模、调查设计、数据挖掘、计量经济学和软件编程等领域具有高水平的跨学科知识。此外，团队成员将通过参加各种会议并与交通运输领域的其他杰出研究人员合作，接触交通运输和计量经济学领域的世界级研究。