Exposition et adaptation aux incendies forestiers dans la taïga canadienne

加拿大森林火灾的展览和改编

• 批准号: 505502-2016
• 负责人: Arseneault, Dominique
• 金额: $ 3.02万
• 依托单位: Université du Québec à Rimouski
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Collaborative Research and Development Grants
• 财政年份: 2019
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2019-01-01 至 2020-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=688413
• 关键词: Exposition; et; adaptation; aux; incendies

Infrastructures and communities of the Canadian taiga are exposed to very severe and frequent fires. The recent Fort McMurray fire (May 2016) could be the costliest natural disaster in Canadian history. Moreover, with economic development and global warming, we expect more frequent interactions between fire, people and infrastructures. Communities, Hydro-Québec, Manitoba Hydro and other industries with value at risk (VAR) in the taiga can protect themselves by attenuating exposure to fires and attenuating anticipated fire impacts, but these measures can not be deployed systematicaly for all infrastructures. The general objective of this project is to use a model that simulate the propagation of a very large number of forest fires in order to map the variability of the fire risk with very high resolution across the territory of the La Grande hydroelectric complex. Then, using a cost-benefit analysis, we will quantify the relevance of various mitigation measures for the most exposed and strategic VARs. The expertise developed in northern Quebec will subsequently be applied to the similar context of northern Manitoba. The approaches developed will guide fire management policies and decisions by the industrial partners (Hydro-Québec, Manitoba Hydro) and other northern communities and managers. This project will also contribute to the training of HQP able to assess the fire risk at short and long terms in the context of climate change.

加拿大针叶林的基础设施和社区暴露在非常严重和频繁的火灾中。最近的麦克默里堡大火（2016年5月）可能是加拿大历史上最昂贵的自然灾害。此外，随着经济发展和全球变暖，我们预计火、人、基础设施之间的互动将更加频繁。社区、Hydro- quacimbec、马尼托巴水电和其他在针叶林中具有风险价值（VAR）的行业可以通过减少火灾暴露和减少预期的火灾影响来保护自己，但这些措施不能系统地部署到所有基础设施中。该项目的总体目标是使用一个模型来模拟大量森林火灾的传播，以便以非常高的分辨率绘制整个拉格兰德水电站境内火灾风险的变异性。然后，使用成本效益分析，我们将量化各种缓解措施对最易受影响的战略风险值的相关性。在魁北克北部发展的专门知识随后将适用于马尼托巴北部的类似情况。所制定的办法将指导工业伙伴（Hydro- quimabec、马尼托巴水电）和其他北部社区和管理人员的消防管理政策和决定。该项目还将有助于培训能够在气候变化背景下评估短期和长期火灾风险的HQP。