在“走出去”战略背景下，OFDI已经成为我国与世界合作共赢、共同发展的重要方式。然而，中国OFDI尚处于初始发展和转型升级的交叠阶段，来华留学生教育或可成为中国OFDI的新助力。那么，留学生教育对OFDI的影响机制为何？OFDI驱动型来华留学生教育的合理结构和发展路径为何？这是仍需进一步研究的问题。为此，本项目拟以社会资本理论和国际生产折衷理论为指导，构建动态非均衡模型，分析来华留学生教育对中国OFDI的影响机制。继而搜集宏观数据，运用GMM工具变量法和门槛模型，探索OFDI驱动型来华留学生教育的合理结构。以异质性需求为视角，以推拉理论、特性理论及随机效用理论为指导，运用离散选择模型分析来华留学生调研数据，研究影响不同结构层次的留学生来华的关键因素。针对关键因素系统性地评估来华留学政策现状，结合国外经验提出本土化的建议。进一步地，尝试构建政策效果预测模型，定量预测政策效果，以供参考。

Initiated by the “Go Global” strategy, OFD has become an importent approach for China to participate in the world economy. However, China’s OFDI is still at the mixed stages of initial development, transformation and upgrading. Higher Education (HE) export may be a new booster of China’s OFDI. Therefore, what is the driving mechanism of HE export on China’s OFDI? What is the rational structure and development path of the OFDI-driven HE export? To answer these questions, this project will firstly employ the Eclectic theory and Social Capital theory to build a Dynamic Disequilibrium model, to investigate the driving mechanism. Secondly, published data will be analyzed using GMM Instrumental Variable method and Threshold model to investigate the rational structure of the OFDI-driven HE export. Thirdly, based on the Push-pull theory, Lancaster Characteristic theory and Random Utility theory, the Discrete Choice model will be utilized to analyze survey data, to identify key factor influencing HE choices of international students from the perspective of the heterogeneous demand. Based on key factors, HE policies of China are evaluated systematically. As a tentative study, this project attempts to construct a replicable and generalizable toolkit for quantitative measurement of policy effects, as references for policy makers.