基于GERT的大学科技园与高新区协同创新机制研究

借鉴国内外协同创新的经验，以GERT网络、博弈论等方法为手段，以协同网络结构为研究 基础架构，以利益均衡协同创新为研究主线，研究协同创新的协同网络总体架构、委托代理机 制、风险监控与反馈机制、问题处理流程与策略选择机制等问题。首先，建立大学科技园与高新区协同过程的协同创新GERT网络结构，揭示协同创新过程特征、价值流动和协同中的关键节点与障碍因素；其次，基于协同创新GERT网络结构，构建利益均衡的委托代理机制，明晰参与主体相关权力与责任，研究最优均衡协同合约问题；第三，基于协同网络结构关键节点，设计全体总动员模式的协同问题检测与风险预警的通报流程及Bayes网络推理模型，建立协同创新全过程检测与风险预警机制；第四，运用均衡灰靶决策模型和“对偶－鱼刺图”模型，构建一套协同创新的“问题发现-反馈-决策-战略选择”的解决方案，以揭示和解决现实问题。

The study uses GERT network, game theory and other methods as means, collaborative network structure as research infrastructure, and balancing of interests collaborative innovation as research mainline to research the overall network architecture of collaborative, agency mechanism, risk monitoring and feedback mechanism, problem process and strategy selection mechanism and so on in the process of collaborative innovation by learning the experience of collaborative innovation from domestic and foreign. Firstly, the study establishes GERT network structure on the process of university science park and high-tech zones collaborative innovation by GERT, and reveales the process of collaborative innovation characteristics, the key nodes and obstacles in the process of value flow and collaboration ;Then, the study establishes a Principal - agent mechanism based on the balancing of interests, clarify the powers and responsibilities of participating subjects, and research the optimal equilibrium of Collaborative contractual issues based on collaborative GERT network structure. At the same time, the study designs the model that all members join to detect the problems of collaborative innovation, the notification process of risk warning, the Bayes network inference model based on the key node of network structure, and the study establishes a risk warning mechanism to detect the whole process of collaborative innovation. Finally, the study establishes a feedback control system of finding the problems of collaborative innovation, the gray target decision-making of the ultra-conflict problem, the dual - fishbone diagram model of strategy selection and so on based on the collaborative GERT network structure, and the study gives a set of solutions consisted of “problem found - feedback - decision-making strategy selection.”