近年来被广泛关注的暖池El Ni?o以其独特的空间分布对全球气候变化产生了重要影响，目前对暖池El Ni?o的变化规律和动力机制仍没有完全弄清楚，无法对其进行准确的预报，因此，对其研究具有重要的科学意义。本项目将对暖池El Ni?o/La Ni?a的变化特征进行分析，并通过海洋流场的变化，定量给出平流输送在暖池El Ni?o/La Ni?a发展和消亡过程中的贡献。进一步探讨暖池El Ni?o/La Ni?a事件发展和消亡的动力机制。另外，分析研究暖池El Ni?o/La Ni?a期间我国气温的变化的特征，研究暖池El Ni?o/La Ni?a期间，热带海温场的分布对副热带高压的影响，从而给出暖池El Ni?o/La Ni?a对我国气温影响的机理，为气候预测和我国天气预报提供理论基础。

In recent years，the warm pool El Ni?o was widely attentioned. It has important influence on climate change over the world with its unique spatial distribution of SST anomaly. The regular pattern and dynamic mechanism of warm pool El Ni?o are still not clear. We cannot carry on the simulation and forecast. Therefore, its research has important scientific significance. We will analyze the variability of warm pool El Ni?o or La Ni?a in this project. The contribution of zonal advection to the developing and decaying processes of warm pool El Ni?o or La Ni?a will be quantitatively analyzed through the research on ocean current. Then we discusses the dynamic mechanism of the development and decay of SST anomaly in warm pool El Ni?o or La Ni?a event. In addition, it is analyzed that the temperature over China during the warm pool El Ni?o or La Ni?a. The influence of SST in tropical Pacific on the subtropical high will be further researched. Then the influence mechanism of warm pool El Ni?o or La Ni?a to the temperature over China will be presented. The project will provide the theory basis to the climate prediction and weather forecast.