生态农业区域规模化人力资本缺失已经严重阻碍生态农业发展。本项目基于团队已建反馈仿真方法和生态农业研究积累，运用流率基本入树建模法、枝向量行列式反馈环计算法、全部反馈环关键因果链法、逐树仿真建模法，与反馈环政策生成、仿真方程建立、仿真模型可靠性检验新方法建立紧密结合，建立反馈模型和定量仿真模型，进行人力资本缺失因素反馈分析，进行新政策与管理措施生成及仿真实验。结合社会网络、隐性知识理论，分别进行基于社会网络与隐性知识视角的生态农业人力资本缺失知识管理治理途径研究，进行反馈环极性与主导反馈环转移延迟时间计算法研究；进行理论创新研究与示范基地建设的反馈互促研究。本研究可为系统动态复杂性反馈分析提供反馈环政策措施新生成法、仿真方程新建立法、仿真模型可靠性检验法、反馈环极性与主导反馈环转移延迟时间计算法四种新方法，为生态农业区域规模化人力资本缺失治理提供政策与管理措施，具有重要的应用价值和推广意义。

The regional-scale ecological agriculture human capital deficiency has been a serious impediment to the development of ecological agriculture. Combined with feedback loop policy generation method, the legislation equation simulation , simulation model test method reliability study, this project plans to study on building simulation models and quantitative feedback model, with the system dynamics rate variable fundamental in-tree modeling approach, branch-vector determinant or matrix algorithm to feedback loops calculation, key causal chains of all feedback loops, simulation modeling method by tree, based on the accumulation of team’s study on feedback simulation and eco-agriculture the following are studied. Insufficient human capital factors feedback are analyzed, new policy measures and simulation and experimental study are done. Integrated with social networking and tacit knowledge theory, the knowledge management governance ways of the regional-scale ecological agriculture human capital deficiency are studied, the feedback loop polarity and leading the feedback loop transfer delay calculation method is researched, theoretical innovation research and demonstration bases feedback are promoted by research. The project can provide four new dynamic complexity analysis approaches, the new method of feedback loop to generate policies and measures, the new legislation equation simulation, simulation model test method reliability study, the feedback loop polarity and leading the feedback loop transfer delay calculation method, on the other hand, it provides the regional-scale ecological agriculture human capital deficiency governance with policy and management measures, therefore, it has important application value and promotion of significance.