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基于深度多任务学习的心理援助热线来电者自杀危险评估模型的构建与检验

批准号:
82071546
项目类别:
面上项目
资助金额:
55.0 万元
负责人:
童永胜
依托单位:
学科分类:
精神行为障碍的心理评估与干预
结题年份:
2024
批准年份:
2020
项目状态:
已结题
项目参与者:
童永胜

项目摘要

结项摘要

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中文摘要
自杀是我国居民的主要死因之一,心理援助热线是常用的有效自杀预防手段。在热线预防自杀实践中,用传统量表方法评估自杀危险程度需要逐一询问来电者较多问题,评估可行性和结果准确性受到来电者配合度的影响。本项目拟在心理援助热线通话期间,由接线员聚焦于自杀心理危机问题与来电者进行半结构式交谈,采用人工智能技术从热线通话中实时抽取文本情感、对话问答、音频及声谱图数据,构建深度多任务学习模型,自动计算来电者自杀危险程度。用已贴自杀结局标签的1万条既往来电录音训练和调试该模型。而后将该模型挂载于北京市心理援助热线工作系统,自动评估每个来电者的自杀危险程度,用传统量表评估的结果平行验证该模型的性能。将1500名接受了该模型评估的来电者纳入队列,开展前瞻性随访研究。以随访期间这些来电者是否发生了自杀行为作为金标准来检验该自动评估模型的预测能力。本项目的评估与随访过程不干扰现有的热线心理危机干预流程。
英文摘要
Suicide is one of the leading causes of death among residents in China. Psychological support hotline is one of commonly used and effective methods for suicide prevention. In the previous suicide prevention activities, routine scales were used to evaluate the suicidal risk of hotline callers. However, the accuracy and feasibility of the evaluation were affected by the cooperation level of the callers. In the present project, the artificial intelligence technique would be used to extract text emotional features, dialogue response features of key facts, audio frequency based emotional features, and spectrogram from the ongoing hotline dialogue, while the hotline operators have a semi-structured conversation focused on the suicidal crisis with hotline callers. A deep multi-task learning model would be developed to real-time calculate the severity of suicidal risk of the callers. The model would be trained and adjusted by ten thousand hotline tape-records which were labeled with suicidal outcomes and suicidal risk scores. The deep multi-task learning model will be loaded at the operating system of the Beijing Psychological Support Hotline. For each callers with themselves’ psychological problem, a suicidal risk score would be given by the model, based on the ongoing hotline dialogue. To estimate the parallel validity of the model, the routine scale suicidal risk score of the callers would be also given by the hotline operator. Approximate 1500 hotline callers who were given deep learning model suicidal risk score were recruited and followed up for up to 12 month. The suicidal outcomes were identified via follow-up, which would be used to test the predictive validity of the deep multi-task learning model. The suicidal risk assessment by the model and the follow-up would not interfere with the routine suicide intervention process.
自杀是我国居民面临的重大健康问题。心理援助热线是我国常用且有效的自杀预防措施。此前的研究表明现有的热线自杀风险评估工具预测能力较低。迄今为止,关于人工智能(AI)技术是否可以提升心理援助热线对来电者自杀风险评估能力,以及AI技术与传统心理量表的结合是否可以更准确预测来电者未来的自杀行为,依然有诸多疑问。本研究项目中我们首先建立了一个自杀风险评估相关的情绪词表并在语音情感特征任务中评估了该词表的信效度。而后我们还建立了一个负性情绪识别模型,并且用一个大型的数据库对该模型进行多任务态预训练。该AI模型进一步使用北京心理援助热线的1549个来电录音进行训练。该录音中有745名来电者在来电后的12个月内有过自杀行为,而其余804名来电者无自杀行为。80%(1239)的录音是AI模型的训练集,其余20%(310)的录音是测试集(其中155个有自杀行为而其余155个无自杀行为)。传统的心理量表——热线来电者自杀风险综合评估量表,也被用于评估每一个来电的自杀危险程度,依据得分高低判定自杀危险程度 (≥7, 6-4, 和≤3 分别是高、中、低危)。来电后12个月内是否有自杀行为是结局金标准。预测效度指标有灵敏度、特异度、阳性预测值、F1、约登指数,以及ROC曲线下面积(AUC)。单独使用AI模型和传统量表,以及两个工具的结合方式(串联、并联)的预测效度分别估算。在310个测试集中,AI模型的灵敏度、特异度、阳性预测值、F1、约登指数分别是75.2%、 44.5%、57.6%、65.2%、19.7%,传统量表这些指标值分别为87.7%、41.3%、 59.9%、71.2%、29.0%。AI模型和量表的AUC值分别为0.62和0.65。当使用两个工具串联的方式,相应指标值为66.5%、 62.1%、63.7%、65.0%、28.5%;而使用并联的方式,相应的指标值分别为96.7%、22.7%、55.6%、70.6%、19.4%。本研究结果表明,AI模型在心理援助热线预测自杀行为的有效性尚可,而将AI工具与传统量表相结合可以提高预测热线来电者未来自杀行为的效力。
心理援助热线来电者自杀危险预测模型的建立和信效度检验
  • 批准号:
    81371501
  • 项目类别:
    面上项目
  • 资助金额:
    60.0万元
  • 批准年份:
    2013
  • 负责人:
    童永胜
  • 依托单位:
国内基金
海外基金