产业集聚对区域经济韧性的影响机制研究

随着全球化的日益深化，区域经济发展面临着更多的扰动和更大的风险。经济韧性作为经济地理学领域的新兴学术热点，已经成为解释区域在外部冲击下不同发展表现的重要视角。已有研究大多将集聚产业的结构特征视为影响区域经济韧性的最重要因素，但普遍缺乏对不同产业集聚型式的全面系统考察。课题从抵抗力和恢复力两个维度测度工业经济韧性，将集聚区分为不同的空间型式和组织型式，基于集聚经济理论和演化经济地理学理论，从共享、匹配、学习、技术关联等角度构建不同集聚型式与经济韧性关系的理论分析框架，据此分析中国地市工业经济韧性的类型、空间分布、空间集聚特征及其与产业集聚的空间关联特征；构建计量模型考察不同集聚型式对经济韧性的影响、产业集聚对经济韧性影响的空间溢出性、不同区域和不同规模城市视角下集聚对工业经济韧性的作用。相关研究结论可以丰富并完善经济韧性研究的理论框架，还能为城市工业经济韧性的强化提供决策依据。

With the deepening of globalization, regional economic development faces more disturbances and greater risks. As an emerging academic hotspot in the field of economic geography, economic resilience has become an important perspective to explain the different development performance of the region under external crisis. Most of the existing studies regard the structural characteristics of the agglomeration industry as the most important factor affecting regional economic resilience, but there is a general lack of comprehensive systematic investigation of different industrial agglomeration patterns. This project measures industrial economic resilience from the two dimensions of resistance and recoverability, and divides agglomeration into different spatial patterns and organizational patterns. Based on the theory of agglomeration economy and evolutionary economic geography, we plan to build the theoretical analysis framework of the relationship between different agglomeration patterns and economic resilience based on the perspectives of sharing, matching, learning, and technological relatedness. Based on the theoretical framework, this project will analyze the types, spatial distribution, spatial agglomeration characteristics of industrial economic resilience in China and we will also analyze the spatial correlation between industrial economic resilience and industrial agglomeration. Econometric model will be constructed to investigate the impact of different agglomeration patterns on industrial economic resilience, the spatial spillover effect of industrial agglomeration on industrial economic resilience, and the effect of agglomeration on industrial economic resilience from different regions and different city size. Relevant research conclusions can enrich and improve the theoretical framework of economic resilience research, and provide decision-making basis for the strengthening of urban industrial economic resilience.