社会资本促进包容性增长的影响机理研究——基于Hamilton优化模型和空间计量分析

包容性增长兼顾效率和公平，要求增长成果惠及所有人群、地区与国家，包容性关乎社会稳定和经济持续发展。但政府主导的“自上而下”的策略未能有效实现包容性增长，贫富悬殊、区域差距、国际鸿沟越发加大，项目拟论证社会资本对包容性增长的促进作用，为基于社会资本的“自下而上”的策略制定提供理论指导。研究内容如下：基于社会资本的价值增值属性与嵌入性地理特性，分析社会资本对生产要素（人力、物质、技术）激励作用，据此构建Hamilton优化模型，分析资源环境约束和经济增长两难困境下社会资本促进包容性增长的作用机理。进一步，通过MIMIC社会资本存量测度、面板计量及基于SIL的要素分解，按照“微观县域—中观省际—宏观国家”三个研究尺度，验证社会资本对包容性增长的促进作用，即微观层面如何影响县域居民收入、省际层面如何影响区域经济差距、国家层面对经济增长率的贡献度如何？所得结论，将为我国包容性增长提供新的视角与契机。

Inclusive growth means fair and efficient, it calls for growth to benefit all people, all regions and countries，which concerns social stability and sustainable economic development. The "top-down" strategy by the government failed to effectively achieve inclusive growth——the gap between the rich and the poor, the regional gap, are increasing. This project intends to demonstrate the role of social capital in inclusive growth, which provides theoretical guidance for the development of "bottom-up" strategy based on social capital. The research contents are as follows: we analyze the incentive effect of social capital on production factors (human, material, technology) based on its value added attribute and embeddedness. We construct Hamilton optimization model to analyze the mechanism of social capital to promote inclusive growth subject to dilemma between resource environment and economic growth. By employing panel data and the measurement of MIMIC social capital, we verify the mechanism and effect of social capital to promote inclusive growth in accordance with the "micro-County - inter provincial - macro state" three research scales. Namely, we demonstrate the following questions: How social capital affects the income of county residents on micro level? How it affects regional economic disparity on provincial level? What is the contribution of social capital to the economic growth rate on national level? The results will provide a brand-new perspective and a new opportunity for the development of inclusive growth in China.