以2015-2050年中国电力系统转型管理为研究对象，丰富与发展能源系统转型的管理决策与优化方法体系。将从中国电力系统转型的元目标决策、转型路径的多态设计、转型政策的鲁棒设计和转型过程的动态优化四方面发展系统转型理论，为我国能源系统转型提供方法支撑和科学论证。.课题可在理论方法上做出如下贡献：①将系统转型理论推进到决策与优化研究范畴，发展转型目标与路径决策的优化方法体系；②构建动态综合资源战略规划模型，可解决在超长时间视角下将现阶段不成熟的新技术纳入电力规划并处理技术资源、经济成本和约束条件的多重不确定性；③根据技术创新规律和系统转型目标的内涵技术社会范式要求进行能源政策时序设计的逻辑方法，可为转型过程中的政策优化提供集成决策支持。在实践上课题将深化对2050年中国电力系统转型目标与路径的认识，并为电力规划与政策设计提供决策科学依据。

With the transition management of power system in China during 2015-2050 as the research objective, the management theory and optimization methodology for energy system transition will be developed in this project. Four aspects including the meta-objective decision of system transition, the multi-state design of transition pathway, the robust policy mix for transition management and the dynamic optimization of transition process will be addressed to provide theoretical base and scientific policy support for China’s low-carbon power system transition. .The project is expected to reach the following theoretical contributions, 1) advancing the scope of normative research highlighting the description of transition process in literature to a new perspective of management decision and optimization and developing the decision and optimization theories for transition management; 2) developing dynamic integrated resource strategic planning (D-IRSP) which can incorporate currently yet-to-matured novel technology options in a ultra-long planning period and handle multi-uncertainties of resource options, economic costs and key constraints; 3) developing logic design methods on how to set policy mix in time sequence which follows both the laws of technology innovation and the intrinsic requirements of technical-social regime and providing integration decision support for policy optimization in the transition process. In practical sense, the study will deepen the understanding on the 2050 landscape of China’s power sector and will provide decision support for the government on medium-and-long-term power planning and policy design.