轨道交通与城市内部复杂土地利用之间存在相互影响、双向反馈的关系。在新型城镇化背景下，科学地把握两者之间的关联发展规律，并建立反映其互动过程的协同模拟模型对于促进城市空间与交通的协调发展具有重要而深远的意义。本项目以广州市为研究案例，基于CA和MAS建模方法，结合数据挖掘与统计模型，构建耦合轨道交通与复杂土地利用互动过程的协同模拟研究框架，为实现轨道交通与土地利用相互统筹的城市综合规划提供技术支撑和决策参考。研究内容主要包括：（1）将轨道交通可达性及其对土地价值的影响过程引入CA模型中，构建轨道交通引导下的复杂土地利用变化模拟模型；（2）引入个体就业-居住区位决策对通勤出行行为的影响，构建复杂土地利用影响下的轨道客流MAS预测模型；（3）耦合CA与MAS模型，对轨道交通与复杂土地利用时空变化过程进行协同模拟，为两者协同规划与联合开发等空间决策提供科学参考。

Studies have shown that there is significant interactions between urban rail transit and complex land use. It is essential to study the relationship between these two factors under the background of new urbanization. Meanwhile, establishing effective simulation models for reflecting the interactive process is important for the coordinated development of urban land use and transportation. In this project, CA and MAS modeling method, combined with data mining and statistical approaches will be used to build the collaborative simulation models. The proposed models will be further applied to Guangzhou, a rapid urbanizing metropolis with large construction of urban rail transit. The interactive process of urban rail transit and complex land use can be well simulated with the collaborative models. The results will provide scientific information for rail transit network optimization and land use planning. This may help government to carry out comprehensive spatial decisions by integrating land use and transportation planning. The main contents of this project can be concluded as follows: 1) A CA model for simulating complex land use change will be proposed by addressing the influence of rail-transport accessibility and its impact on land values. 2) The employment and residential location decisions and individual travel behaviors will be integrated into MAS model, so as to predict the rail passenger flows under the influence of complex land use. 3) The interactive process between urban rail transit and complex land use will be further collaboratively simulated by coupling CA and MAS models. The simulation results can provide scientific basis for collaborative planning and integrated development of land use and transportation.