连片特困地区扶贫、分配与增长互动关系的SWARM仿真研究- - -以恩施州为例

本项目是基于攻读博士期间对收入分配和经济增长的理论研究成果上，针对这次国家将陆续启动11个连片特困地区的扶贫攻坚工程，在动态数理模型框架基础上，通过处理复杂社会系统的SWARM平台，建立多主体（multi-agent）社会经济运行模型，来仿真模拟扶贫、增长、分配、减贫之间的互动关系。并以武陵山地区的恩施自治州为例，收集和整理该地区各种社会经济数据，通过计量方法得到构造该仿真模型的外生变量。旨在开发建立一个针对连片特困地区扶贫专用的仿真模拟系统，用以解决复杂社会系统中多主体互相影响和自适应条件下，扶贫工程中增长、分配同减贫的相互作用的事前实验仿真模拟。为连片特困扶贫攻坚战中合理处理分配与增长、选择最优扶贫方案、促进特困区域发展、最终提高扶贫效果提供一个扶贫、监测、仿真、评估的实用工具。

This project is on the results of theoretical studies on income distribution and economic growth on the doctoral period， and take advantage of 11 contiguous destitute areas which were launched Anti-Poverty Project. It is based on in the framework of the dynamic mathematical model dealing with complex social systems with SWARM platform, through constructing multi-agent running the model of socio-economic, to simlate interaction among poverty reduction, growth, distribution. In which whose exogenous variable were found by Wuling Mountain area of Enshi Prefecture for sample.Experimental Simulation System is designed to complete a poverty alleviation for the contiguous destitute areas dedicated to solve interaction of growth, distrubution, poverty alleviation in the poverty reduction processing under condition of multi-agent interaction and adaptive conditions in the complex social systems.Purpose is to provide monitoring,simulation and evaluation tools to balace growth between distribution, to select optimal anti-poverty programs, increasing poverty reduction effct and promoting regional economic development.