连片特困地区少数民族农户贫困代际传递程度及传递机制研究-以新疆为例

阻断少数民族农户贫困代际传递是新时期我国连片特困地区脱贫攻坚的重点和难点。本研究从少数民族农户贫困代际传递普遍的现实出发，以新疆为例，依据发展经济学、社会学等有关理论，利用实地调研数据，借助贫困代际传递率和代际收入弹性揭示贫困代际传递的广度、深度及其空间和民族差异性；运用贫困代际传递理论，从家庭人口内部特征和外部环境两个层面构建影响贫困代际传递的理论机制；将中间变量法和结构方程相结合，探寻贫困代际传递的关键影响因素及其传递路径，解析贫困代际传递的现实机制；借鉴国际国内减贫经验，构建阻断贫困代际传递的政策体系。本研究将为少数民族连片特困地区精准扶贫、精准脱贫提供理论依据和现实支撑。

Blocking minority farmers intergenerational transmission of poverty (IGT) is the focus and difficulty in tackling poverty of contiguous destitute areas in China in the new period. According to the relevant theories of Development economics and Sociology, this study, taking Xinjiang as an example, aims to investigate the IGT poverty among the minority farmers. Using field survey data and adopting a socioeconomic approach, this study analyzes severity, spatial and ethnic characteristics and potential causes of IGT poverty with the help of intergenerational transmission of poverty rate and intergenerational income elasticity of IGT poverty. Placing particular emphasis on internal family factors and the dynamics of external environments, this study explores a specific mechanism of IGT poverty in the framework of intermediate variables and structural equations. On the basis of the empirical outcomes and extensive reviews on foreign cases, this study provides theoretical and practical basis for supporting targeted poverty alleviation and accurate poverty alleviation for the minority contiguous destitute areas.