邻里效应对流动人口相对贫困的影响机制与治理策略研究——以赣南革命老区外出劳动人口为例

从消除绝对贫困到缓解相对贫困的战略转变过程中，流动人口相对贫困的形成机制及治理路径问题需要深化的科学研究。考虑到流动人口涉及迁入地与迁出地的典型属性，本课题提出“迁入地与迁出地双重邻里效应如何影响流动人口相对贫困生成及治理”的科学问题，通过多学科理论和多维度方法，从单维邻里效应拓展到双重邻里效应的新视角解析流动人口相对贫困的形成逻辑与作用渠道。课题以赣南革命老区外出劳动人口为例，通过多层线性模型检视邻里效应对赣南革命老区外出流动人口相对贫困影响的经验证据；应用中介效应模型及双重差分法探寻邻里效应对流动人口相对贫困生成过程的影响机理与作用渠道；纳入空间溢出理论并综合空间计量方法来刻画与量化间接邻里效应，以进一步拓展邻里效应的分析范畴并纳入流动人口相对贫困研究中；最终试图从双重邻里效应新视角来设计流动人口相对贫困治理策略。研究将为我国相对贫困治理与流动人口治理长效机制的现实需求提供科学依据。

In the strategic transformation process from eradicating absolute poverty to alleviating relative poverty, the formation mechanism of the relative poverty of the migrants and the governance path need deepening scientific research. Considering the typical attributes of migrants involving moving-in-places and moving-out-places, this project proposes the scientific question: how does the dual neighborhood effect of moving-in-places and moving-out-places affect the generation and governance of migrants’ relative poverty, and analyze the forming logic and affecting channels of the relative poverty of the migrants from an new perspective of expanding the single-dimensional neighborhood effect to the dual neighborhood effect, based on a multi-disciplinary theory and a multi-dimensional approach. The project is based on the emigrants workers of the old revolutionary area in southern Jiangxi Province. Firstly, the Hierarchical Linear Model would be used to examine the empirical evidence of neighborhood effect on the relative poverty of the migrants in the old revolutionary area in southern Jiangxi Province. Secondly, through the mediation effect model and difference-in-difference method, this study will explore the effect channels and influence mechanism of neighborhood effect on the generation process of relative poverty of migrants. Thirdly, incorporating spatial spillover theory and comprehensive spatial econometric methods to characterize and quantify indirect neighborhood effects to further expand the analysis and include them in the study of relative poverty among migrants. Finally, it attempts to design a migrants' relative poverty governance strategy from a new perspective of the dual neighborhood effect. The research will provide a scientific basis for the practical needs of China's relative poverty governance and migrant’s governance long-term mechanism.