应对台风-暴雨耦合灾害的海湾型城市智慧韧性规划理论研究

受全球气候变化影响，我国海岸带地区超强台风及强暴雨等极端天气灾害频现，课题结合国家重点建设区域减灾防灾的重大需求，基于多源数据、GIS和人工智能技术方法，以海湾型城市为研究对象，研究城镇群生态安全格局设计理论，理清“台风-暴雨-洪涝-地质灾害”等灾害链发生机理，探索减灾-断链的韧性空间规划技术，耦合城市灰-绿基础设施，探索高密度城区智慧韧性海绵的设计方法，创新“山-城-海”复杂环境条件下应急物流、应急疏散的布局方法；构建海湾型城市智慧、韧性防灾机制，并在海湾型地区进行韧性防灾关键技术集成与示范，结合国土空间规划，统筹城镇防灾空间和重大基础设施的安全布局，将韧性防灾思维理念贯穿于国土空间规划全过程，解决极端气候灾害风险强度的智能识别、风险区域快速评价技术研发的难点，弥补滨海人口高密度集聚条件下灾害智慧防控的缺环，创新韧性防灾的城乡规划理论，保障人民生命与财产安全，实现城市可持续发展。

Due to the impact of global climate change, extreme weather disasters such assuper typhoons and heavy rainstorms have occurred frequently in coastal areas of China. This subject is based on the multi-source data, GIS, and artificial intelligence technology methods in conjunction with the major needs of national disaster reduction and prevention areas. Take bay-type cities as research objects, This subject will be researching the design theory of ecological security pattern of urban clusters, sorting out the occurrence mechanism of the ‘typhoon-rainstorm-flood-geological hazards’ disaster chain, exploring resilience planning technology on disaster reduction and chain breaking, and coupling grey and green infrastructure, exploring the design method of smart and resilient sponges in high-density urban areas and innovating the layout method of emergency logistics and emergency evacuation under the complex environment of "mountain-city-sea"; constructing an intelligent and resilient disaster prevention mechanism for bay-type cities; Integrate and demonstrate the key technologies for resilient disaster prevention in the bay-type cities, Combined the national territory spatial planning with the urban disaster prevention planning and the safety layout of major infrastructure. Integrate resilient thought throughout the entire process of territorial spatial planning to address difficulties in intelligence identifying the risk intensity of extreme climate disaster and develop risk area rapid assess technology. Consider the high density of coastal populations, this subject will make up for the lack of intelligent disaster prevention, innovate resilient planning theories in disaster prevention, guarantee people's life and property safety, and realize cities' sustainable development.