城市实现可持续发展目标的机理、路径与行动决策研究

中国政府落实2030年可持续发展议程是统筹推进“五位一体”总体布局的重要手段。城市以可持续发展为目标，走可持续发展的道路是落实2030年议程的重要内容。本课题识别并提取城市实现可持续发展目标（SDGs）的关键影响因素，揭示目标实现过程的机理和路径，构建城市实现SDGs行动分析决策模型和工具，为政府制定相关政策举措提供支撑。课题首先从多角度充分认识城市层面17个领域SDGs之间的关联关系，并进行目标结构分解，识别并提取影响城市实现SDGs的人、事、物关键因素，形成量化指标参数。然后分析这些关键因素影响和推动城市实现SDGs的机理和路径，并采用元网络分析方法用网络图的方式表达出来。在此基础上构建城市SDGs元网络分析决策模型，开发城市SDGs分析决策软件工具，并应用于国家可持续发展议程创新示范区、国家可持续发展实验区等典型案例城市，为政府制定政策举措等行动的决策提供理论支撑与实践指导。

China’s implementation of the United Nations’ 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development is an important means to pursue coordinated progress in the Five-in-one Overall Layout. Cities aiming at sustainable development and taking the road of sustainable development play a key role for the implementation of 2030 Agenda. This research identifies the key factors and reveals the mechanism and routes for achieving city’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The action decision making model for achieving city’s SDGs is established to support the Policy making of municipality. Firstly, the study fully demonstrates the correlation between 17 SDGs at the city level from multiple perspectives, and applies the Object Breakdown Structure to extract and quantify the key influence factors from the aspects of stakeholders, events and objectives. Then the key influence factors, mechanism and routes which promote cities to achieve SDGs are analyzed and visualized by meta-network analysis. On this basis, the city SDGs meta-network decision-making model and software tool are developed. The model and tool are then applied to typical case cities such as the National Sustainable Development Agenda Innovation Demonstration Zones and the National Sustainable Development Experimental Zones, in order to provide theoretical support and practical guidance for government policy making.