Pre-operative predictors of short-term survival after pancreatic cancer resection.

Pre-operative predictors of short-term survival after pancreatic cancer resection.
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胰腺癌切除术后短期生存的术前预测因素。

DOI:
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发表时间:
1998
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
H. Katoh
H. Katoh
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
M. Takeuchi;S. Kondo;H. Sugiura;H. Katoh

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背景/目的 本研究的目的是探讨影响胰腺癌切除术后短期生存的术前因素,并评估其预后价值。 方法 本文回顾了1989 ~ 1996年间在北海道大学附属医院第二外科手术治疗的59例胰腺导管腺癌患者。 结果 患者的平均年龄为62.6岁。年龄小于等于62岁的患者与年龄较大的患者之间的生存率差异显著(p=0.0053)。增强CT检查评估原发肿瘤大小; 36例患者肿瘤直径大于3 cm。肿瘤直径小于等于3 cm的患者的1年生存率明显优于原发肿瘤直径大于3 cm的患者(p=0.0258)。癌胚抗原(CEA)分析显示,术前值低于诊断临界值(临界指数; C.I.)2倍的患者1年生存率有显著差异。和值高于该水平的患者(p=0.0006)。肿瘤较小(≤ 3 cm)且术前血清CEA水平较低(≤ 2倍C.I.)的年轻患者(≤ 62岁)亚组的1年生存率,为72.7%(n=11)。多因素分析表明,年龄和术前血清CEA水平都是1年生存率的独立预后因素(分别为p=0.0077和0.003),尽管肿瘤大小的统计学意义较弱(p=0.107)。 结论 提示年龄和血清CEA水平是影响胰腺癌术后近期生存的独立预后因素。
BACKGROUND/AIMS The aim of the present study is to investigate the pre-operative factors that affect short-term survival after pancreatic cancer resection and to evaluate their prognostic value. METHODOLOGY Fifty-nine patients with ductal adenocarcinoma of the pancreas operated on in the Second Department of Surgery, Hokkaido University Hospital between 1989 and 1996 were reviewed. RESULTS The patients had a mean age of 62.6 years. The difference of survival between patients aged 62 years or younger and older patients was significant (p=0.0053). Primary tumor size was evaluated with enhanced CT examination; 36 patients had tumors larger than 3 cm in diameter. The 1-year survival rate of patients with tumors 3 cm or less in diameter was significantly better than that of patients with primary tumors greater than 3 cm in diameter (p=0.0258). Analysis of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) showed a significant difference in 1-year survival rates between patients with a pre-operative value below twice the diagnostic cutoff level (cutoff index; C.I.) and patients with a value above this level (p=0.0006). The 1-year survival rate for the subset of younger patients (= or < 62 years) with smaller tumors (3 cm or less) and a lower pre-operative serum CEA level (= or < two times of C.I.), was 72.7% (n=11). Multivariate analysis indicated that age and the pre-operative serum CEA level were both independent prognostic factors of 1-year survival (p=0.0077, and 0.003, respectively), although the statistical significance of tumor size was weak (p=0.107). CONCLUSIONS It was suggested that age and serum CEA level were independent prognostic factors of short-term survival after pancreatic cancer resection.