Toward a Theory of Peace Agreement Implementation: The Case of Liberia

Toward a Theory of Peace Agreement Implementation: The Case of Liberia
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走向和平协议执行理论:利比里亚案例

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发表时间:
2003
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通讯作者:
D. Bekoe
D. Bekoe
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作者:
D. Bekoe

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内战之后的和平协议是战后时期最关键和最不确定的过程之一。虽然不怀疑这些因素的重要性,但本文认为,通过分析众多和平,他们没有正确地解释实施的渐进过程。从1989年至1996年,利比里亚的第一次内战协议介绍了一个理论,即如果实施期间的脆弱程度同样平衡,换句话说,实施和平协议的实施将提高。和平协议中提出的让步将在因素之间带来军事,经济或政治脆弱性的变化,当面部领导人感到互相脆弱时,实施过程会发展。利比里亚的长达十年的冲突散布在脆弱的和平时期,为观察军事和政治脆弱性变化对实施过程的影响提供了机会。
The implementation of a peace agreement following a civil war is one of the most critical and uncertain processes of any post-war period. Many argue that promises of extensive power sharing arrangements in future governments and international intervention help advance the implementation of a peace process. While not doubting the importance of these factors, this paper argues that they do not sufficiently account for the incremental process of an implementation. Through an analysis of the numerous peace agreements of Liberia’s first civil war, from 1989-1996, this paper presents the theory that the implementation of a peace agreement will advance if the level of vulnerability during the implementation period is equally balanced among the faction leaders. In other words, given that the concessions offered in a peace agreement will bring some change in military, economic, or political vulnerability among the factions, the implementation process advances when the faction leaders feel mutually vulnerable. Liberia’s nearly decade-long conflict, interspersed with periods of fragile peace, provides an opportunity to observe the effects of changes in military and political vulnerability on the implementation process.