THE EFFECTS OF PRECINCT-LEVEL CANVASSING ON VOTER BEHAVIOR

THE EFFECTS OF PRECINCT-LEVEL CANVASSING ON VOTER BEHAVIOR
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辖区级拉票对选民行为的影响

DOI:
10.1086/267841
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发表时间:
1970
影响因子:
3.4
通讯作者:
G. Kramer
G. Kramer
中科院分区:
法学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
G. Kramer

文献摘要

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在每次选举中花费数百万小时挨家挨户拉票是如何影响选民行为的?SRC选举调查的1952年,1956年,1960年和1964年的数据进行了分析的最大似然法,以估计这种拉票的影响。个人接触被认为是有效的,在增加投票率,但在影响选民对总统,国会或地方办公室候选人的偏好是无效的。反复接触也被发现是相对无效的。杰拉尔德克雷默是耶鲁大学政治学副教授,也是考尔斯经济学研究基金会的工作人员。
How do the millions of hours spent in each election on door-to-door canvassing affect voters' behavior? Data from the SRC election surveys of 1952, 1956, 1960, and 1964 are analyzed by maximum-likelihood methods to estimate the effects of such canvassing. Personal contact is found to be effective in increasing turnout, but not effective in influencing voter preferences for presidential, congressional, or local-office candidates. Repeated contacts are also found to be relatively ineffective. Gerald Kramer is Associate Professor of Political Science, and a staff member of the Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, at Yale.