Elite Cues and the Rapid Decline in Trust in Science Agencies on COVID-19

Elite Cues and the Rapid Decline in Trust in Science Agencies on COVID-19
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DOI:
10.1177/07311214211022391
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发表时间:
2021-06-17
影响因子:
2.4
通讯作者:
Safford, Thomas G.
Safford, Thomas G.
中科院分区:
法学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Hamilton, Lawrence C.;Safford, Thomas G.

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COVID-19大流行的特点是美国公众对科学家信任的政治分歧。这种分歧在其他话题上是众所周知的,但在COVID-19问题上,它们突然出现,带来了灾难性的后果。对其他地方科学家的不信任有不同的解释,如信仰体系、认知因素、同伴影响或精英暗示。2020年3月至7月在新罕布什尔州进行的三项调查观察到了迅速的变化,为这种情况下的解释提供了测试。共和党人对疾病控制和预防中心(CDC)等科学机构的信任急剧下降,而民主党人和独立人士的观点几乎没有变化;民主党人和共和党人的差距从10个百分点扩大到64个百分点。这一迅速变化恰逢唐纳德·特朗普总统对疾病预防控制中心的看法发生逆转,并被保守派媒体放大。对科学家信任度较低的人也报告说,他们对基于科学的行为建议的遵守程度较低,对科学知情的政策的支持程度较低。
The COVID-19 pandemic has been marked by political divisions in U.S. public trust of scientists. Such divisions are well known on other topics, but regarding COVID-19 they arose suddenly, with disastrous results. Distrust of scientists elsewhere has been variously explained in terms of belief systems, cognitive factors, peer influences, or elite cues. Three surveys conducted from March to July 2020 in the state of New Hampshire observed rapid change, providing a test of explanations in this case. Trust in science agencies such as the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) fell dramatically among Republicans, while views among Democrats and Independents changed little; the Democrat-Republican gap grew from 10 to 64 points. This rapid change coincided with a reversal of views toward the CDC expressed by President Donald Trump and amplified by conservative media. People expressing lower trust in scientists also report less compliance with science-based behavioral recommendations and less support for scientifically informed policies.