The Erratic Path of the Low-Carbon Transition in China: Evolution of Solar Pv Policy
The Erratic Path of the Low-Carbon Transition in China: Evolution of Solar Pv Policy
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DOI：
10.1016/j.enpol.2013.12.063
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发表时间：
2014-01
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Sufang Zhang;P. Andrews-Speed;Meiyun Ji
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Sufang Zhang;P. Andrews-Speed;Meiyun Ji
在过去的二十年里，中国的太阳能光伏发电产能和部署都在增长，但这种增长遵循了一个非常不稳定的路径。本研究运用社会技术制度的概念来确定使这条道路如此不稳定的因素。本文分析了中国从20世纪90年代中期到2013年太阳能光伏政策的四个阶段，发现每个阶段都有不同的政策方案组合。政府政策的这些变化以及由此导致的太阳能光伏行业发展轨迹的变化可归因于三组主要变量。其中最重要的是影响中国政府更广泛政策重点的事件。次级因素包括政府对国内太阳能光伏制造业与全国太阳能光伏部署之间的政策互动管理不善，以及政府内部的政策学习。这项研究的总体教训是，国家低碳转型战略的单一要素的发展路径可能是不稳定的，因为它受到一系列政治和经济力量的影响，也受到实验和学习的影响。
The last twenty years have seen the growth of both solar PV manufacturing capacity and deployment in China, yet this growth has followed a very erratic path. This study applies the concept of socio-technical regime to identify factors which have made this path so erratic. We examine four stages in China's solar PV policy from mid-1990s to 2013 and show that each is characterized by different combinations of policy program. These changes in government policy and in the resultant trajectory of the solar PV sector are attributed to three main sets of variables. The most important of these are events which shape the wider policy priorities of China's government. Secondary factors include the government's poor management of the policy interaction between the domestic solar PV manufacturing industry and the deployment of solar PV across the country, as well as policy learning within government. The general lesson from this study is that the development path of a single element of a national strategy for the low-carbon transition is likely to be erratic, subject as it is to a range of political and economic forces, and to experimentation and learning.