Growth in the Age of Automation: Foundations of a Theoretical Framework

Growth in the Age of Automation: Foundations of a Theoretical Framework
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自动化时代的发展:理论框架的基础

DOI:
10.1111/meca.12229
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发表时间:
2018
期刊:
影响因子:
1.3
通讯作者:
O. Gomes
O. Gomes
中科院分区:
经济学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
O. Gomes

文献摘要

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在一系列生产性任务的开发中,机器取代了人类,正在改变经济格局。就业结构的突变,收入差距的扩大,以及对增长的不确定影响,都是经济学家目前担心的一些问题。本文发展了一个新古典增长模型的基础,该模型透视了自动化对总经济的影响。特别是,当前创新浪潮推动的效率提高面临着相关的工作岗位流失,以及机器人取代劳动力带来的潜在社会动荡和焦虑。每种效应的强度决定了过渡路径和稳态结果。
The replacement of humans by machines in the development of a wide array of productive tasks is changing the economic landscape. Mutations on the structure of employment, widening income gaps, and uncertain effects over growth are some of the worries currently in the mind of economists. This article develops the foundations of a neoclassical growth model that puts into perspective the impact of automation over the aggregate economy. In particular, efficiency gains propelled by the current wave of innovation are confronted with the associated loss of jobs and with the potential social unrest and anxiety that the substitution of labor by robots brings. The strength of each effect determines transition paths and steady‐state results.