Future of African terrestrial biodiversity and ecosystems under anthropogenic climate change
Future of African terrestrial biodiversity and ecosystems under anthropogenic climate change
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DOI:
10.1038/nclimate2753
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发表时间:
2015-09
影响因子:
30.7
通讯作者:
G. Midgley;W. Bond
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
G. Midgley;W. Bond
Projections of ecosystem and biodiversity change for Africa under climate change diverge widely. More than other continents, Africa has disturbance-driven ecosystems that diversified under low Neogene CO2levels, in which flammable fire-dependent C4grasses suppress trees, and mega-herbivore action alters vegetation significantly. An important consequence is metastability of vegetation state, with rapid vegetation switches occurring, some driven by anthropogenic CO2-stimulated release of trees from disturbance control. These have conflicting implications for biodiversity and carbon sequestration relevant for policymakers and land managers. Biodiversity and ecosystem change projections need to account for both disturbance control and direct climate control of vegetation structure and function.