How binding are legal limits?: Transitions from temporary to permanent work in Spain
How binding are legal limits?: Transitions from temporary to permanent work in Spain
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DOI：
10.1016/j.labeco.2005.09.001
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发表时间：
2007-04-01
期刊：
影响因子：
2.4
通讯作者：
Petrongolo, Barbara
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Guell, Mala;Petrongolo, Barbara
本文研究了西班牙定期合同的期限模式及其转换为永久合同的决定因素，西班牙的定期就业比例是欧洲最高的。我们估计了一个临时就业的持续时间模型，与竞争的风险终止为永久就业与替代状态，和灵活的持续时间依赖。我们发现，转换率通常低于10%。我们估计的转换率大致随着任期的增加而增加，当没有法律的方法以临时合同留住工人时，在法律的限制下会出现明显的峰值。我们认为，不同类别的工人在转换率上的估计差异可能源于工人外部选择的差异，从而导致他们有可能威胁要放弃临时工作。(c)2005 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。
This paper studies the duration pattern of fixed-term contracts and the determinants of their conversion into permanent ones in Spain, where the share of fixed-term employment is the highest in Europe. We estimate a duration model for temporary employment, with competing risks of terminating into permanent employment versus alternative states, and flexible duration dependence. We find that conversion rates are generally below 10%. Our estimated conversion rates roughly increase with tenure, with a pronounced spike at the legal limit, when there is no legal way to retain the worker on a temporary contract. We argue that estimated differences in conversion rates across categories of workers can stem from differences in worker outside options and thus the power to credibly threat to quit temporary jobs. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.