Ethnic Politics and State Power in Africa: The Logic of the Coup-Civil War Trap

Ethnic Politics and State Power in Africa: The Logic of the Coup-Civil War Trap
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非洲的民族政治与国家权力:政变-内战陷阱的逻辑

DOI:
10.1017/9781316809877
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发表时间:
2016
期刊:
Political Institutions: Non-Democratic Regimes eJournal
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
P. Roessler
P. Roessler
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
P. Roessler

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为什么一些非洲国家陷入种族排斥和内战的恶性循环,而另一些国家则经历相对和平?在这本开创性的书中,菲利普·罗斯勒解决了这个问题。罗斯勒将非洲弱小的、种族分裂的国家作为一个模型,让统治者面临政变-内战陷阱--与种族对手分享权力是保证社会和平和防止内战的必要条件,但却增加了对手在政变中夺取主权的能力。统治者如何应对这种战略权衡被证明是一个功能,他们的国家的民族地理和它产生的威胁能力的分布。在深入的苏丹和刚果民主共和国的案例研究之间移动,基于多年的实地工作和对撒哈拉以南非洲的权力分享,政变和内战的统计分析,这本书作为混合方法研究的好处的一个范例,用于理论建设和比较政治学的测试。
Why are some African countries trapped in vicious cycles of ethnic exclusion and civil war, while others experience relative peace? In this groundbreaking book, Philip Roessler addresses this question. Roessler models Africa's weak, ethnically-divided states as confronting rulers with a coup-civil war trap - sharing power with ethnic rivals is necessary to underwrite societal peace and prevent civil war, but increases rivals' capabilities to seize sovereign power in a coup d'etat. How rulers respond to this strategic trade-off is shown to be a function of their country's ethnic geography and the distribution of threat capabilities it produces. Moving between in-depth case studies of Sudan and the Democratic Republic of the Congo based on years of field work and statistical analyses of powersharing, coups and civil war across sub-Saharan Africa, the book serves as an exemplar of the benefits of mixed methods research for theory-building and testing in comparative politics.