Chronic diseases 1 - Preventing chronic diseases: how many lives can we save?
Chronic diseases 1 - Preventing chronic diseases: how many lives can we save?
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DOI：
10.1016/s0140-6736(05)67341-2
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发表时间：
2005-10-01
期刊：
影响因子：
168.9
通讯作者：
Beaglehole, R
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Strong, K;Mathers, C;Beaglehole, R
2005年将有3500万人死于心脏病、中风、癌症和其他慢性疾病。其中只有 20% 的死亡发生在高收入国家，而 80% 的死亡发生在低收入和中等收入国家。这些潜在可预防疾病的死亡率在低收入和中等收入国家高于高收入国家，特别是在 30-69 岁的成年人中。对男性和女性的影响是相似的。我们提出了减少慢性病死亡的新目标，以将预防和控制工作的重点放在关注国际健康的人们身上。这一目标——将慢性病死亡率每年再降低 2%——将在 2015 年之前避免 3600 万人死亡。另一个好处是，在 2006 年至 2015 年的 10 年间，寿命将延长约 5 亿年。大部分避免的死亡和延长的生命年将发生在低收入和中等收入国家，其中不到一半将发生在 70 岁以下的人群中。我们的全球目标基于 2005 年和 2015 年按原因划分的全球死亡预测。数据针对世界、选定国家和世界银行收入组提供。
35 million people will die in 2005 from heart disease, stroke, cancer, and other chronic diseases. Only 20% of these deaths will be in high-income countries-while 80% will occur in low-income and middle-income countries. The death rates from these potentially preventable diseases are higher in low-income and middle-income countries than in high-income countries, especially among adults aged 30-69 years. The impact on men and women is similar. We propose a new goal for reducing deaths from chronic disease to focus prevention and control efforts among those concerned about international health. This goal-to reduce chronic disease death rates by an additional 2% annually-would avert 36 million deaths by 2015. An additional benefit will be a gain of about 500 million years of life over the 10 years from 2006 to 2015. Most of these averted deaths and life-years gained will be in low-income and middle-income countries, and just under half will be in people younger than 70 years. We base the global goal on worldwide projections of deaths by cause for 2005 and 2015. The data are presented for the world, selected countries, and World Bank income groups.